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England vs Croatia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

UEFA Nations League
tor. 12. nov. 2026
VS
07:45 p.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

England host Croatia in the UEFA Nations League. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. England have averaged 2.48 scored and 0.74 conceded recently, against Croatia's 1.8 scored and 1.53 conceded. Head-to-head, England have won 4 to Croatia's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on 3. okt. 2026, ending 0:7. Model xG sits at 2.31 vs 1.19, favoring England. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

90%
England
6%
Uavgjort
4%
Croatia
Uavgjort-prognose: 6% Favoritt: England

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

95% / Svært Høy Sikkerhet
  • Croatia haven't matched England's recent run of results.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on England taking it.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this UEFA Nations League fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).
  • England have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 99%
Over 1.5 Mål 88%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 31.5%
Over 4.5 Mål 14%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 69.8%
England Rent bur 20%
Croatia Rent bur 10%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk England Croatia
Kamper Spilt 31 30
Seire 23 15
Uavgjort 3 5
Tap 5 10
Mål Scoret 2.48 1.8
Mål Sluppet Inn 0.74 1.53
Forventede Mål (xG) 2.31 1.19
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

3. okt. 2026 UEFA Nations League
Croatia vs England
0:7
17. juni 2026 World Championship
England vs Croatia
4:2
13. juni 2021 Euro
England vs Croatia
1:0
18. nov. 2018 UEFA Nations League
England vs Croatia
2:1
12. okt. 2018 UEFA Nations League
Croatia vs England
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

England 85 / 100
Croatia 10 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
England Croatia

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips England Win (1)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

England's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Croatia conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: England stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Måltrender

England VS Croatia
2.13 Mål scoret 1.38
1 Mål sluppet inn 2.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

England

(Home)
06 Oct
England
3 : 0
Czech Republic
03 Oct
Croatia
0 : 7
England
29 Sept
Czech Republic
0 : 2
England
26 Sept
England
2 : 3
Spain
18 Jul
France
4 : 6
England
Page 1 of 7

Croatia

(Away)
06 Oct
Croatia
1 : 2
Spain
03 Oct
Croatia
0 : 7
England
29 Sept
Spain
4 : 1
Croatia
26 Sept
Czech Republic
1 : 2
Croatia
02 Jul
Portugal
2 : 1
Croatia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France 4 3 1 0 7:2 10
2 Italy 4 2 1 1 8:5 7
3 Belgium 4 2 0 2 6:5 6
4 Turkey 4 0 0 4 2:11 0
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Netherlands 4 2 2 0 7:5 8
2 Greece 4 2 2 0 5:3 8
3 Germany 4 1 2 1 3:2 5
4 Serbia 4 0 0 4 3:8 0
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain 4 4 0 0 12:5 12
2 England 4 3 0 1 14:3 9
3 Croatia 4 1 0 3 4:14 3
4 Czech Republic 4 0 0 4 2:10 0
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugal 4 4 0 0 9:4 12
2 Denmark 4 2 0 2 7:7 6
3 Wales 4 1 0 3 2:5 3
4 Norway 4 1 0 3 6:8 3
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)