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England vs Spain - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

UEFA Nations League Wembley Stadium, London
2 - 3
Slutt
Vårt Tips

Kamphendelser

2' Event
Lamine Yamal
36' Event
Gordon A.
Assist: Bellingham J.
40' Event
Kane H.
Assist: O'Reilly N.

Kampsammendrag

Spain in this UEFA Nations League matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Spain.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

27%
England
33%
Uavgjort
40%
Spain
Uavgjort-prognose: 33% Favoritt: Spain

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

70% / Middels Sikkerhet
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Spain at 2.59 per game, England at 2.57.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Spain taking it.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 70%
Over 4.5 Mål 32%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 69.8%
England Rent bur 10%
Spain Rent bur 10%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk England Spain
Kamper Spilt 30 29
Seire 23 23
Uavgjort 2 5
Tap 5 1
Mål Scoret 2.57 2.59
Mål Sluppet Inn 0.77 0.86
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.38 1.88
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

26. sep. 2026 UEFA Nations League
England vs Spain
2:3
14. juli 2024 Euro
Spain vs England
2:1
15. okt. 2018 UEFA Nations League
Spain vs England
2:3
8. sep. 2018 UEFA Nations League
England vs Spain
1:2
15. nov. 2016 Friendly International
England vs Spain
2:2

Nøkkelspiller-Analyse

Toppspillere og forventet involvering

England Sammenlign

Toppscorer Gordon A.
1 Mål
Assister Kane H.
1 Ast
Snitt xG / kamp 1.06
Snitt xA / kamp 0.69

Spain Sammenlign

Toppscorer Lamine Yamal
1 Mål
Assister Baena A.
1 Ast
Snitt xG / kamp 1.71
Snitt xA / kamp 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

England 26 / 100
Spain 38 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
England Spain

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Spain Win (2)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:7
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

England found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

England has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Spain has conceded goals in 48% of their last 29 outings.

Måltrender

England VS Spain
2.25 Mål scoret 2.13
1.63 Mål sluppet inn 0.5
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

England

(Home)
06 Oct
England
3 : 0
Czech Republic
03 Oct
Croatia
0 : 7
England
29 Sept
Czech Republic
0 : 2
England
26 Sept
England
2 : 3
Spain
18 Jul
France
4 : 6
England
Page 1 of 6

Spain

(Away)
06 Oct
Croatia
1 : 2
Spain
03 Oct
Spain
3 : 1
Czech Republic
29 Sept
Spain
4 : 1
Croatia
26 Sept
England
2 : 3
Spain
19 Jul
Spain
1 : 0
Argentina
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France 4 3 1 0 7:2 10
2 Italy 4 2 1 1 8:5 7
3 Belgium 4 2 0 2 6:5 6
4 Turkey 4 0 0 4 2:11 0
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Netherlands 4 2 2 0 7:5 8
2 Greece 4 2 2 0 5:3 8
3 Germany 4 1 2 1 3:2 5
4 Serbia 4 0 0 4 3:8 0
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain 4 4 0 0 12:5 12
2 England 4 3 0 1 14:3 9
3 Croatia 4 1 0 3 4:14 3
4 Czech Republic 4 0 0 4 2:10 0
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugal 4 4 0 0 9:4 12
2 Denmark 4 2 0 2 7:7 6
3 Wales 4 1 0 3 2:5 3
4 Norway 4 1 0 3 6:8 3
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)