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Ethiopia vs Senegal - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations Bahir Dar Stadium, Bahir Dar
Ethiopia Logo

Ethiopia

0 - 1
Slutt
Senegal Logo

Senegal

Vårt Tips

Kamphendelser

11' Event
Mbaye I.
Assist: Jackson N.
19'
Gueye P.
46'
Bytte
Yalew A. Inn: Belay B.
Ut: Yalew A.
Sammendrag Seier Mål Form H2H Taktikk Spillere Indekser Tips Kampforløp Presisjon Sammenlign

Kampsammendrag

First leg ended 0-1. This leg finished 0-1.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

27%
Ethiopia
33%
Uavgjort
40%
Senegal
Uavgjort-prognose: 33% Favoritt: Senegal

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

70% / Middels Sikkerhet
  • Ethiopia haven't matched Senegal's recent run of results.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Senegal taking it.
  • Senegal arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Senegal, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 70%
Over 4.5 Mål 32%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 64.2%
Ethiopia Rent bur 20%
Senegal Rent bur 14%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Ethiopia Senegal
Kamper Spilt 29 45
Seire 10 27
Uavgjort 5 9
Tap 14 9
Mål Scoret 1.07 1.91
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.24 0.71
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.05 0.84
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

29. sep. 2026 Africa Cup of Nations
Ethiopia vs Senegal
0:1
18. nov. 1965 Africa Cup of Nations
Senegal vs Ethiopia
5:1

Nøkkelspiller-Analyse

Toppspillere og forventet involvering

Ethiopia Sammenlign

Snitt xG / kamp 0.81
Snitt xA / kamp 0.53

Senegal Sammenlign

Toppscorer Mbaye I.
1 Mål
Snitt xG / kamp 0.76
Snitt xA / kamp 0.47

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Ethiopia 28 / 100
Senegal 39 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Ethiopia Senegal

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Senegal Win (2)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:7
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Ethiopia remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Ethiopia scored in 55% of their last 29 games.

Senegal let in goals in 38% of their last 45 matches.

Måltrender

Ethiopia VS Senegal
0.86 Mål scoret 1.25
0.43 Mål sluppet inn 1.25
29% Over 1.5 63%
14% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ethiopia

(Home)
29 Sept
Ethiopia
0 : 1
Senegal
25 Sept
Sudan
1 : 0
Ethiopia
09 Jun
Ethiopia
1 : 1
Malawi
06 Jun
Ethiopia
1 : 0
Malawi
31 Mar
Ethiopia
1 : 0
Sao Tome and Principe
Page 1 of 6

Senegal

(Away)
29 Sept
Ethiopia
0 : 1
Senegal
25 Sept
Mozambique
1 : 1
Senegal
01 Jul
Belgium
3 : 2
Senegal
26 Jun
Senegal
5 : 0
Iraq
23 Jun
Norway
3 : 2
Senegal
Page 1 of 9

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Morocco 2 2 0 0 4:0 6
2 Gabon 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
3 Niger 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
4 Lesotho 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Egypt 2 1 1 0 5:0 4
2 Angola 2 1 1 0 3:1 4
3 Malawi 2 1 0 1 3:4 3
4 South Sudan 2 0 0 2 1:7 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ivory Coast 2 2 0 0 4:0 6
2 Gambia 2 2 0 0 6:3 6
3 Somalia 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
4 Ghana 2 0 0 2 2:6 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Africa 2 2 0 0 7:1 6
2 Guinea 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
3 Eritrea 2 0 1 1 1:6 1
4 Kenya 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 D.R. Congo 2 2 0 0 4:1 6
2 Zimbabwe 2 1 0 1 4:4 3
3 Equatorial Guinea 2 1 0 1 1:2 3
4 Sierra Leone 2 0 0 2 2:4 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Benin 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
2 Burkina Faso 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
3 Mauritania 2 1 0 1 4:3 3
4 Central Africa 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cameroon 2 1 1 0 4:2 4
2 Comoros 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
3 Namibia 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
4 Congo 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uganda 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
2 Botswana 2 0 2 0 4:4 2
3 Tunisia 2 0 2 0 3:3 2
4 Libya 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Algeria 2 1 1 0 5:3 4
2 Zambia 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
3 Togo 2 1 0 1 1:2 3
4 Burundi 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Senegal 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
2 Mozambique 2 1 1 0 5:2 4
3 Sudan 2 1 0 1 2:4 3
4 Ethiopia 2 0 0 2 0:2 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rwanda 2 2 0 0 5:2 6
2 Mali 2 2 0 0 4:1 6
3 Cape Verde 2 0 0 2 2:5 0
4 Liberia 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 12)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guinea Bissau 2 2 0 0 5:0 6
2 Nigeria 2 1 0 1 2:4 3
3 Tanzania 2 0 1 1 1:3 1
4 Madagascar 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)