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FC Tokyo vs Kashiwa Reysol - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Japan Japan

J1 League Ajinomoto Stadium, Tokyo
ons. 21. okt. 2026
VS
10:00 a.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

FC Tokyo host Kashiwa Reysol in the J1 League. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. FC Tokyo have averaged 1.97 scored and 0.97 conceded recently, against Kashiwa Reysol's 1.96 scored and 1.29 conceded. Past meetings favor Kashiwa Reysol slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 29. apr. 2026, ending 1:3. xG projections (1.81 - 1.19) back FC Tokyo to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

30%
FC Tokyo
39%
Uavgjort
31%
Kashiwa Reysol
Uavgjort-prognose: 39% Favoritt: Draw

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

65% / Middels Sikkerhet
  • Look at the last few games and FC Tokyo come out ahead of Kashiwa Reysol on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 31.5%
Over 4.5 Mål 14%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 69%
FC Tokyo Rent bur 20%
Kashiwa Reysol Rent bur 10%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk FC Tokyo Kashiwa Reysol
Kamper Spilt 29 28
Seire 19 18
Uavgjort 3 0
Tap 7 10
Mål Scoret 1.97 1.96
Mål Sluppet Inn 0.97 1.29
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.81 1.19
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

29. apr. 2026 J1 League
Kashiwa Reysol vs FC Tokyo
1:3
28. feb. 2026 J1 League
FC Tokyo vs Kashiwa Reysol
0:2
5. juli 2025 J1 League
Kashiwa Reysol vs FC Tokyo
1:0
11. apr. 2025 J1 League
FC Tokyo vs Kashiwa Reysol
1:1
6. juli 2024 J1 League
Kashiwa Reysol vs FC Tokyo
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

FC Tokyo 31 / 100
Kashiwa Reysol 30 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
FC Tokyo Kashiwa Reysol

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips FC Tokyo Win (1)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Attacking prowess: FC Tokyo scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

FC Tokyo has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Kashiwa Reysol conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Måltrender

FC Tokyo VS Kashiwa Reysol
1.88 Mål scoret 2.25
0.13 Mål sluppet inn 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Tokyo

(Home)
10 Oct
FC Tokyo
3 : 0
Urawa Reds
07 Oct
FC Tokyo
4 : 0
Shonan Bellmare
29 Sept
Ehime
0 : 2
FC Tokyo
19 Sept
FC Tokyo
1 : 0
Nagoya Grampus
12 Sept
Gamba Osaka
0 : 2
FC Tokyo
Page 1 of 6

Kashiwa Reysol

(Away)
09 Oct
Kashiwa Reysol
4 : 2
Vissel Kobe
03 Oct
Kashiwa Reysol
5 : 4
Gamba Osaka
23 Sept
Kashiwa Reysol
4 : 0
Imabari
20 Sept
Machida Zelvia
2 : 4
Kashiwa Reysol
16 Sept
Jeonbuk
2 : 1
Kashiwa Reysol
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kashiwa Reysol 9 7 0 2 21:14 21
2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 9 6 2 1 22:6 20
3 Machida Zelvia 9 6 2 1 22:10 20
4 FC Tokyo 9 6 2 1 17:8 20
5 Vissel Kobe 9 6 1 2 14:9 19
6 Kashima Antlers 9 5 1 3 19:16 16
7 Yokohama F. Marinos 9 4 3 2 13:9 15
8 Kawasaki Frontale 9 3 4 2 17:14 13
9 Okayama 9 4 1 4 12:12 13
10 Shimizu S-Pulse 9 4 1 4 8:9 13
11 Urawa Reds 9 4 0 5 16:21 12
12 Cerezo Osaka 9 3 3 3 7:12 12
13 Mito 9 2 3 4 12:13 9
14 V-Varen Nagasaki 9 2 3 4 11:16 9
15 Nagoya Grampus 9 3 0 6 9:15 9
16 Kyoto 9 2 2 5 11:16 8
17 Avispa Fukuoka 9 2 1 6 11:13 7
18 Gamba Osaka 9 1 3 5 8:16 6
19 Chiba 9 1 2 6 8:19 5
20 Verdy 9 0 4 5 4:14 4
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - J2 League 2027/2028 (Main)