Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Flint Town vs Caernarfon - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

FAW Welsh Cup Essity Stadium, Flint
lør. 17. okt. 2026
VS
06:45 p.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

The first leg ended 3-0. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Recent numbers: Flint Town at 1.74 goals for, 1.55 against; Caernarfon at 1.94 for, 1.38 against. Past meetings favor Caernarfon slightly — 0-4-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 4. sep. 2026, ending 3:0. Model xG sits at 1.06 vs 2.88, favoring Caernarfon. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

4%
Flint Town
6%
Uavgjort
90%
Caernarfon
Uavgjort-prognose: 6% Favoritt: Caernarfon

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

95% / Svært Høy Sikkerhet
  • Flint Town haven't matched Caernarfon's recent run of results.
  • Caernarfon are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Caernarfon arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Caernarfon, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).
  • History favors Caernarfon here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 99%
Over 1.5 Mål 94%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 44%
Over 4.5 Mål 20%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 72.2%
Flint Town Rent bur 10%
Caernarfon Rent bur 14%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Flint Town Caernarfon
Kamper Spilt 31 34
Seire 12 17
Uavgjort 7 7
Tap 12 10
Mål Scoret 1.74 1.94
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.55 1.38
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.06 2.88
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

4. sep. 2026 Cymru Premier
Caernarfon vs Flint Town
3:0
12. apr. 2026 FAW Welsh Cup
Caernarfon vs Flint Town
3:0
5. des. 2025 Cymru Premier
Caernarfon vs Flint Town
1:1
22. aug. 2025 Cymru Premier
Flint Town vs Caernarfon
2:5
14. jan. 2025 Cymru Premier
Caernarfon vs Flint Town
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Flint Town 10 / 100
Caernarfon 84 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Flint Town Caernarfon

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Caernarfon Win (2)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Flint Town found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (31 games).

Defensive concern: Caernarfon conceded in 68% of 34 recent games.

Recent resilience: Flint Town stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Måltrender

Flint Town VS Caernarfon
0.88 Mål scoret 3.63
2.13 Mål sluppet inn 1.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Flint Town

(Home)
03 Oct
Haverfordwest
0 : 1
Flint Town
26 Sept
Flint Town
3 : 0
Ammanford Town
18 Sept
Airbus UK Broughton FC
4 : 1
Flint Town
15 Sept
TNS
5 : 0
Flint Town
11 Sept
Flint Town
1 : 1
Cardiff Metropolitan University
Page 1 of 7

Caernarfon

(Away)
09 Oct
Haverfordwest
1 : 2
Caernarfon
03 Oct
Caernarfon
0 : 1
Barry Town
26 Sept
Cardiff Metropolitan University
2 : 2
Caernarfon
18 Sept
Caernarfon
9 : 1
Cambrian United
15 Sept
Llandudno FC
1 : 1
Caernarfon
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Airbus UK Broughton FC -
TNS -
Coedpoeth -
Guilsfield -
Llannefydd -
Llandudno FC -
Newtown -
Llanuwchllyn -
Bala -
Holyhead -
Connahs Q. -
Porthmadog -
Penycae FC -
Dolgellau Athletic -
Aberystwyth -
Prestatyn -
Flint Town -
Caernarfon -
Llay Welfare -
Holywell Town FC -
Buckley -
Colwyn Bay -
Brickfield Rangers -
Llangefni -
Denbigh -
Bangor 1876 -
Cefn Albion -
Felinheli -
Llysfaen -
Mochdre Sports -
Pontarddulais -
Goytre Utd -
Trefelin -
Llantwit Major -
Afan Lido -
Penybont -
Caerau Ely -
Llanelli -
Blaen-y-Maes -
Ely Rangers -
Radnor Valley -
Cardiff Draconians -
Barry Town -
Tredegar Town -
Cwmaman Institute -
Ammanford Town -
Llangennech -
Pontardawe -
Caerphilly -
Chepstow Town -
Evans Williams -
Rockspur -
Briton Ferry -
Afan United -
Llantwit Fardre -
Baglan Dragons -
Cardiff Metropolitan University -
Ynyshir Albions -
Cambrian United -
Trethomas Bluebirds -
Carmarthen Town -
Newport City -
Haverfordwest -
Cardiff Corries -
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