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Stadium Background

Gorna vs Septemvri Sofia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Bulgarian Cup
fre. 16. okt. 2026
VS
03:00 p.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

A one-off knockout match in the Bulgarian Cup. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Recent numbers: Gorna at 0.93 goals for, 1.47 against; Septemvri Sofia at 1 for, 1.34 against. Past meetings favor Septemvri Sofia slightly — 0-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 21. mai 2021, ending 3:0. xG projections (1.19 - 0.81) back Septemvri Sofia to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

90%
Gorna
6%
Uavgjort
4%
Septemvri Sofia
Uavgjort-prognose: 6% Favoritt: Gorna

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

95% / Svært Høy Sikkerhet
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Septemvri Sofia at 1 per game, Gorna at 0.93.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Gorna taking it.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Septemvri Sofia, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Septemvri Sofia have taken 3 of them.

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 6.5%
Over 4.5 Mål 3%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 70.2%
Gorna Rent bur 20%
Septemvri Sofia Rent bur 12%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Gorna Septemvri Sofia
Kamper Spilt 30 29
Seire 9 9
Uavgjort 7 8
Tap 14 12
Mål Scoret 0.93 1
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.47 1.34
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.19 0.81
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

21. mai 2021 Vtora liga
Septemvri Sofia vs Gorna
3:0
12. des. 2020 Vtora liga
Gorna vs Septemvri Sofia
0:2
23. mai 2020 Vtora liga
Septemvri Sofia vs Gorna
0:0
29. nov. 2019 Vtora liga
Gorna vs Septemvri Sofia
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Gorna 85 / 100
Septemvri Sofia 10 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Gorna Septemvri Sofia

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Gorna Win (1)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Solid form: Gorna remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Gorna's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Septemvri Sofia conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Måltrender

Gorna VS Septemvri Sofia
0.88 Mål scoret 0.75
0.88 Mål sluppet inn 1.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Gorna

(Home)
04 Oct
Natsional Sofia
1 : 3
Gorna
26 Sept
Gorna
0 : 0
Marek
20 Sept
Yantra Gabrovo
0 : 1
Gorna
15 Sept
Gorna
1 : 1
Nesebar
07 Sept
Svoge
0 : 0
Gorna
Page 1 of 6

Septemvri Sofia

(Away)
19 Sept
Septemvri Sofia
0 : 3
Botev Plovdiv
14 Sept
Ludogorets
2 : 1
Septemvri Sofia
04 Sept
Septemvri Sofia
2 : 3
Botev Vratsa
28 Aug
Slavia Sofia
1 : 1
Septemvri Sofia
23 Aug
Septemvri Sofia
1 : 0
CSKA 1948 Sofia
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Chernomorets Balchik 2
Etar 3
TBD -
Spartak Varna -
Natsional Sofia 1
Gorna 3
TBD -
Septemvri Sofia -
Spartak Plovdiv 1
Botev Ihtiman 0
TBD -
Arda -
Balkan Botevgrad 0
Fratria 3
TBD -
Botev Vratsa -
Neftochimic Burgas 2
Svoge 1
TBD -
CSKA 1948 Sofia -
Botev Novi Pazar 1
Vihren 4
TBD -
Lok. Sofia -
Benkovski 0
Akademik Svishtov 3
TBD -
Slavia Sofia -
Oborishte Panagyurishte 1
Yantra Gabrovo 3
TBD -
Lok. Plovdiv -
Zagorets 0
Rilski Sportist 4
TBD -
Dunav Ruse -
Minyor Pernik 1
Beroe 2
TBD -
Ludogorets -
Volov Shumen 0
Chernomorets 1919 2
TBD -
Botev Plovdiv -
Krumovgrad 1
Spartak Pleven 2
TBD -
Levski Sofia -
Chavdar Troyan 0
Marek 4
TBD -
Cherno More -
Rodopa Smolyan 1
Nesebar 3
TBD -
CSKA Sofia -
Lokomotiv Mezdra 2
Pirin Blagoevgrad 3
Yambol 1915 0
Hebar 5
Belasitsa Petrich 1
Dobrudzha 2
Bdin Vidin 0
Montana 2
1/16-finals
Etar -
Spartak Varna -
Gorna -
Septemvri Sofia -
Spartak Plovdiv -
Arda -
Fratria -
Botev Vratsa -
Neftochimic Burgas -
CSKA 1948 Sofia -
Vihren -
Lok. Sofia -
Akademik Svishtov -
Slavia Sofia -
Yantra Gabrovo -
Lok. Plovdiv -
Rilski Sportist -
Dunav Ruse -
Beroe -
Ludogorets -
Chernomorets 1919 -
Botev Plovdiv -
Spartak Pleven -
Levski Sofia -
Marek -
Cherno More -
Nesebar -
CSKA Sofia -
Pirin Blagoevgrad -
Hebar -
Dobrudzha -
Montana -
1/8-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -