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Guinea vs Kenya - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations Stade 28 Septembre, Conakry
Guinea Logo

Guinea

1 - 0
Slutt
Kenya Logo

Kenya

Vårt Tips

Kamphendelser

16'
Bajaber M.
32' Event
Guirassy S.
46'
Bytte
Obiero M. Inn: Ouma T.
Ut: Obiero M.
Sammendrag Seier Mål Form H2H Taktikk Spillere Indekser Tips Kampforløp Presisjon Sammenlign

Kampsammendrag

First leg ended 1-0. This leg finished 1-0.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

27%
Guinea
33%
Uavgjort
40%
Kenya
Uavgjort-prognose: 33% Favoritt: Kenya

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

70% / Middels Sikkerhet
  • Guinea have won more games recently than Kenya.
  • Win probability leans Kenya's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Guinea have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Guinea, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Sterke forsvar taler for en kontrollert og målfattig kamp.

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 85%
Over 1.5 Mål 50%
Over 2.5 Mål 25%
Over 3.5 Mål 13%
Over 4.5 Mål 6%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Guinea Rent bur 27%
Kenya Rent bur 68%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Guinea Kenya
Kamper Spilt 26 23
Seire 9 8
Uavgjort 8 6
Tap 9 9
Mål Scoret 1.08 1.22
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.04 1.3
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.19 0.76
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

1. okt. 2026 Africa Cup of Nations
Guinea vs Kenya
1:0
12. okt. 2008 World Championship
Guinea vs Kenya
3:2
7. juni 2008 World Championship
Kenya vs Guinea
2:0
5. juni 2005 World Championship
Guinea vs Kenya
1:0
17. nov. 2004 World Championship
Kenya vs Guinea
2:1

Nøkkelspiller-Analyse

Toppspillere og forventet involvering

Guinea Sammenlign

Toppscorer Guirassy S.
1 Mål
Snitt xG / kamp 0.92
Snitt xA / kamp 0.59

Kenya Sammenlign

Snitt xG / kamp 0.69
Snitt xA / kamp 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Guinea 30 / 100
Kenya 50 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Guinea Kenya

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Kenya Win (2)
Sekundærtips Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Prognose No (NG)
Over/Under Tips Under 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Guinea's goal record stands at 65% scoring rate across 26 recent games.

Kenya's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 23 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Guinea went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Måltrender

Guinea VS Kenya
0.88 Mål scoret 0.63
0.88 Mål sluppet inn 1.5
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Guinea

(Home)
01 Oct
Guinea
1 : 0
Kenya
26 Sept
South Africa
2 : 1
Guinea
04 Jun
Northern Ireland
1 : 0
Guinea
31 Mar
Guinea
0 : 1
Benin
27 Mar
Guinea
2 : 2
Togo
Page 1 of 6

Kenya

(Away)
05 Oct
Rwanda
0 : 0
Kenya
01 Oct
Guinea
1 : 0
Kenya
26 Sept
Kenya
1 : 1
Eritrea
07 Jun
Kenya
4 : 0
Lesotho
04 Jun
Lesotho
1 : 1
Kenya
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Morocco 2 2 0 0 4:0 6
2 Gabon 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
3 Niger 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
4 Lesotho 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Egypt 2 1 1 0 5:0 4
2 Angola 2 1 1 0 3:1 4
3 Malawi 2 1 0 1 3:4 3
4 South Sudan 2 0 0 2 1:7 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ivory Coast 2 2 0 0 4:0 6
2 Gambia 2 2 0 0 6:3 6
3 Somalia 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
4 Ghana 2 0 0 2 2:6 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Africa 2 2 0 0 7:1 6
2 Guinea 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
3 Eritrea 2 0 1 1 1:6 1
4 Kenya 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 D.R. Congo 2 2 0 0 4:1 6
2 Zimbabwe 2 1 0 1 4:4 3
3 Equatorial Guinea 2 1 0 1 1:2 3
4 Sierra Leone 2 0 0 2 2:4 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Benin 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
2 Burkina Faso 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
3 Mauritania 2 1 0 1 4:3 3
4 Central Africa 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cameroon 2 1 1 0 4:2 4
2 Comoros 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
3 Namibia 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
4 Congo 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uganda 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
2 Botswana 2 0 2 0 4:4 2
3 Tunisia 2 0 2 0 3:3 2
4 Libya 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Algeria 2 1 1 0 5:3 4
2 Zambia 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
3 Togo 2 1 0 1 1:2 3
4 Burundi 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Senegal 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
2 Mozambique 2 1 1 0 5:2 4
3 Sudan 2 1 0 1 2:4 3
4 Ethiopia 2 0 0 2 0:2 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rwanda 2 2 0 0 5:2 6
2 Mali 2 2 0 0 4:1 6
3 Cape Verde 2 0 0 2 2:5 0
4 Liberia 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 12)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guinea Bissau 2 2 0 0 5:0 6
2 Nigeria 2 1 0 1 2:4 3
3 Tanzania 2 0 1 1 1:3 1
4 Madagascar 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)