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Hartlepool vs Hornchurch - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

National League Victoria Park, Hartlepool
lør. 24. okt. 2026
VS
02:00 p.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

Hartlepool host Hornchurch in the National League. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Hornchurch have shipped 1.24 goals a game lately, while Hartlepool have conceded 1.96 and scored 1.04. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. xG projections (1.00 - 1.25) back Hornchurch to edge this. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

31%
Hartlepool
40%
Uavgjort
29%
Hornchurch
Uavgjort-prognose: 40% Favoritt: Draw

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

66% / Middels Sikkerhet
  • Look at the last few games and Hornchurch come out ahead of Hartlepool on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 70%
Over 4.5 Mål 32%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 67.8%
Hartlepool Rent bur 19%
Hornchurch Rent bur 15%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Hartlepool Hornchurch
Kamper Spilt 28 29
Seire 11 16
Uavgjort 2 4
Tap 15 9
Mål Scoret 1.04 1.59
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.96 1.24
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.00 1.25
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Hartlepool 32 / 100
Hornchurch 29 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Hartlepool Hornchurch

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Draw (X)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Defensive concern: Hornchurch conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

Difficult form: Hornchurch registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Hartlepool scored in 57% of their last 28 games.

Måltrender

Hartlepool VS Hornchurch
0.5 Mål scoret 0.75
1.75 Mål sluppet inn 1.5
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Hartlepool

(Home)
03 Oct
Hartlepool
0 : 1
Tamworth
29 Sept
Hartlepool
0 : 1
Harrogate
26 Sept
Scunthorpe
4 : 1
Hartlepool
19 Sept
Hartlepool
1 : 3
Worthing FC
16 Sept
Altrincham
2 : 1
Hartlepool
Page 1 of 6

Hornchurch

(Away)
06 Oct
Hornchurch
1 : 2
Fulham U21
03 Oct
Harrogate
3 : 0
Hornchurch
29 Sept
Hornchurch
2 : 1
Aldershot
26 Sept
Altrincham
3 : 0
Hornchurch
19 Sept
Hornchurch
1 : 0
Scunthorpe
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boreham Wood 12 10 2 0 32:13 32
2 Harrogate 12 8 1 3 28:17 25
3 Southend 12 7 3 2 29:18 24
4 Yeovil 12 6 4 2 26:15 22
5 Worthing FC 12 6 3 3 22:18 21
6 Altrincham 12 7 0 5 17:18 21
7 AFC Fylde 12 6 2 4 22:18 20
8 Kidderminster 12 5 4 3 15:12 19
9 Barrow 12 5 3 4 20:15 18
10 Aldershot 12 5 3 4 17:13 18
11 Sutton 12 5 3 4 14:16 18
12 Hornchurch 12 6 0 6 13:19 18
13 Halifax 12 5 2 5 18:14 17
14 Carlisle 12 4 4 4 23:20 16
15 Woking 12 4 3 5 20:19 15
16 Forest Green 11 4 3 4 17:18 15
17 Eastleigh 12 4 3 5 14:18 15
18 Tamworth 12 4 2 6 20:28 14
19 Wealdstone 12 3 3 6 17:18 12
20 Boston United 12 3 3 6 14:21 12
21 Scunthorpe 11 3 1 7 15:19 10
22 Hartlepool 12 3 0 9 8:17 9
23 Solihull Moors 12 2 1 9 13:30 7
24 Gateshead 12 1 1 10 7:27 4
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