Sport Picks
Haverfordwest vs Caernarfon - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Kampsammendrag
Haverfordwest host Caernarfon in the Cymru Premier. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Caernarfon have shipped 1.54 goals a game lately, while Haverfordwest have conceded 1.07 and scored 1.38. Past meetings favor Haverfordwest slightly — 1-0-4 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 8. nov. 2025, ending 2:2. The numbers (0.94 xG vs 2.50) point toward Haverfordwest. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.
Seierssannsynlighet
Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form
Modellens Sikkerhet
Aggregert sikkerhetsskår
- Haverfordwest carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Caernarfon's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).
Målsannsynlighet
Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie
Siste Formanalyse
Snitt per kamp
| Metrikk | Haverfordwest | Caernarfon |
|---|---|---|
| Kamper Spilt | 29 | 28 |
| Seire | 15 | 14 |
| Uavgjort | 2 | 5 |
| Tap | 12 | 9 |
| Mål Scoret | 1.38 | 2.14 |
| Mål Sluppet Inn | 1.07 | 1.54 |
| Forventede Mål (xG) | 0.94 | 2.50 |
| Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder
SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks
Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)
Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke
Modell-Prognose
Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder
Smart Innsikt
Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet
Attacking prowess: Haverfordwest scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.
Defensive concern: Caernarfon conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.
Haverfordwest has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Måltrender
Recent Form & Match History
Haverfordwest
(Home)Caernarfon
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TNS | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 29:5 | 31 |
| 2 | Penybont | 11 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 22:9 | 27 |
| 3 | Connahs Q. | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 27:8 | 25 |
| 4 | Caernarfon | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 35:13 | 23 |
| 5 | Colwyn Bay | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 21:14 | 22 |
| 6 | Barry Town | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 26:20 | 22 |
| 7 | Cardiff Metropolitan University | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 22:13 | 18 |
| 8 | Cambrian United | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 21:23 | 18 |
| 9 | Llandudno FC | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 21:18 | 16 |
| 10 | Airbus UK Broughton FC | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 18:17 | 15 |
| 11 | Haverfordwest | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 7:16 | 10 |
| 12 | Briton Ferry | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10:20 | 9 |
| 13 | Flint Town | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 11:24 | 5 |
| 14 | Trefelin | 11 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 5:27 | 3 |
| 15 | Ammanford Town | 11 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 7:31 | 3 |
| 16 | Holywell Town FC | 11 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 12:36 | 2 |