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Haverfordwest vs Caernarfon - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

Cymru Premier Bridge Meadow Stadium, Haverfordwest
fre. 9. okt. 2026
VS
06:45 p.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

Haverfordwest host Caernarfon in the Cymru Premier. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Caernarfon have shipped 1.54 goals a game lately, while Haverfordwest have conceded 1.07 and scored 1.38. Past meetings favor Haverfordwest slightly — 1-0-4 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 8. nov. 2025, ending 2:2. The numbers (0.94 xG vs 2.50) point toward Haverfordwest. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

4%
Haverfordwest
6%
Uavgjort
90%
Caernarfon
Uavgjort-prognose: 6% Favoritt: Caernarfon

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

95% / Svært Høy Sikkerhet
  • Haverfordwest carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Caernarfon's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 31.5%
Over 4.5 Mål 14%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 68.6%
Haverfordwest Rent bur 10%
Caernarfon Rent bur 16%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Haverfordwest Caernarfon
Kamper Spilt 29 28
Seire 15 14
Uavgjort 2 5
Tap 12 9
Mål Scoret 1.38 2.14
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.07 1.54
Forventede Mål (xG) 0.94 2.50
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

8. nov. 2025 Cymru Premier
Caernarfon vs Haverfordwest
2:2
30. aug. 2025 Cymru Premier
Haverfordwest vs Caernarfon
1:1
18. mai 2025 Cymru Premier
Haverfordwest vs Caernarfon
3:1
29. mars 2025 Cymru Premier
Haverfordwest vs Caernarfon
1:1
8. feb. 2025 Cymru Premier
Caernarfon vs Haverfordwest
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Haverfordwest 10 / 100
Caernarfon 84 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Haverfordwest Caernarfon

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Caernarfon Win (2)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Attacking prowess: Haverfordwest scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Caernarfon conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Haverfordwest has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Måltrender

Haverfordwest VS Caernarfon
0.88 Mål scoret 3.75
1.25 Mål sluppet inn 1
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Haverfordwest

(Home)
29 Sept
Cardiff Metropolitan University
1 : 0
Haverfordwest
26 Sept
Colwyn Bay
1 : 0
Haverfordwest
18 Sept
Haverfordwest
1 : 0
Holywell Town FC
11 Sept
Haverfordwest
3 : 1
Briton Ferry
04 Sept
Connahs Q.
1 : 1
Haverfordwest
Page 1 of 6

Caernarfon

(Away)
26 Sept
Cardiff Metropolitan University
2 : 2
Caernarfon
18 Sept
Caernarfon
9 : 1
Cambrian United
15 Sept
Llandudno FC
1 : 1
Caernarfon
11 Sept
Ammanford Town
0 : 5
Caernarfon
04 Sept
Caernarfon
3 : 0
Flint Town
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 TNS 11 10 1 0 29:5 31
2 Penybont 11 8 3 0 22:9 27
3 Connahs Q. 11 8 1 2 27:8 25
4 Caernarfon 11 7 2 2 35:13 23
5 Colwyn Bay 11 7 1 3 21:14 22
6 Barry Town 11 7 1 3 26:20 22
7 Cardiff Metropolitan University 11 5 3 3 22:13 18
8 Cambrian United 11 5 3 3 21:23 18
9 Llandudno FC 11 5 1 5 21:18 16
10 Airbus UK Broughton FC 11 5 0 6 18:17 15
11 Haverfordwest 11 3 1 7 7:16 10
12 Briton Ferry 11 2 3 6 10:20 9
13 Flint Town 11 1 2 8 11:24 5
14 Trefelin 11 0 3 8 5:27 3
15 Ammanford Town 11 0 3 8 7:31 3
16 Holywell Town FC 11 0 2 9 12:36 2
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group)
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Conference League Group)
Relegation - Cymru Premier (Relegation Group)