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Stadium Background

Italy vs Turkey - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

UEFA Nations League Stadio Renato Dall'Ara, Bologna
Italy Logo

Italy

3 - 1
Slutt
Turkey Logo

Turkey

Vårt Tips

Kamphendelser

26' Event
Scamacca G.
42'
Scamacca G.
47'
Ruggeri M.
Sammendrag Seier Mål Form H2H Taktikk Spillere Indekser Tips Kampforløp Presisjon Sammenlign

Kampsammendrag

The UEFA Nations League game between Italy and Turkey finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Italy.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

90%
Italy
6%
Uavgjort
4%
Turkey
Uavgjort-prognose: 6% Favoritt: Italy

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

95% / Svært Høy Sikkerhet
  • Italy's 1.94 goals per match outpaces what Turkey have produced (1.68).
  • Win probability leans Italy's way, sitting at 90%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this UEFA Nations League fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).
  • Italy have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 70%
Over 4.5 Mål 32%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Italy Rent bur 68%
Turkey Rent bur 14%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Italy Turkey
Kamper Spilt 31 34
Seire 18 18
Uavgjort 5 5
Tap 8 11
Mål Scoret 1.94 1.68
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.26 1.35
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.06 1.38
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

5. okt. 2026 UEFA Nations League
Italy vs Turkey
3:1
28. sep. 2026 UEFA Nations League
Turkey vs Italy
1:4
4. juni 2024 Friendly International
Italy vs Turkey
0:0
29. mars 2022 Friendly International
Turkey vs Italy
2:3
11. juni 2021 Euro
Turkey vs Italy
0:3

Nøkkelspiller-Analyse

Toppspillere og forventet involvering

Italy Sammenlign

Toppscorer Scamacca G.
1 Mål
Assister Calafiori R.
1 Ast
Snitt xG / kamp 0.82
Snitt xA / kamp 0.53

Turkey Sammenlign

Toppscorer Simsir A.
1 Mål
Snitt xG / kamp 1.25
Snitt xA / kamp 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Italy 95 / 100
Turkey 10 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Italy Turkey

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Italy Win (1)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 8:0
BTTS Prognose No (NG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Italy found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (31 games).

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Turkey conceded in 74% of 34 recent games.

Recent resilience: Italy stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Måltrender

Italy VS Turkey
1.38 Mål scoret 1.5
1.25 Mål sluppet inn 0.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Italy

(Home)
05 Oct
Italy
3 : 1
Turkey
02 Oct
France
1 : 1
Italy
28 Sept
Turkey
1 : 4
Italy
25 Sept
Italy
0 : 2
Belgium
07 Jun
Greece
0 : 1
Italy
Page 1 of 7

Turkey

(Away)
05 Oct
Italy
3 : 1
Turkey
02 Oct
Belgium
3 : 0
Turkey
28 Sept
Turkey
1 : 4
Italy
25 Sept
Turkey
0 : 1
France
26 Jun
Turkey
3 : 2
USA
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France 4 3 1 0 7:2 10
2 Italy 4 2 1 1 8:5 7
3 Belgium 4 2 0 2 6:5 6
4 Turkey 4 0 0 4 2:11 0
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Netherlands 4 2 2 0 7:5 8
2 Greece 4 2 2 0 5:3 8
3 Germany 4 1 2 1 3:2 5
4 Serbia 4 0 0 4 3:8 0
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain 4 4 0 0 12:5 12
2 England 4 3 0 1 14:3 9
3 Croatia 4 1 0 3 4:14 3
4 Czech Republic 4 0 0 4 2:10 0
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugal 4 4 0 0 9:4 12
2 Denmark 4 2 0 2 7:7 6
3 Wales 4 1 0 3 2:5 3
4 Norway 4 1 0 3 6:8 3
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)