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Jelgava vs BFC Daugavpils - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Latvia Latvia

Virsliga Zemgales Olimpiskais centrs, Jelgava
Jelgava Logo

Jelgava

søn. 25. okt. 2026
VS
12:00 p.m.
BFC Daugavpils Logo

BFC Daugavpils

Vårt Tips
Sammendrag Seier Mål Form H2H Taktikk Spillere Indekser Tips Kampforløp Presisjon Sammenlign

Kampsammendrag

Jelgava host BFC Daugavpils in the Virsliga. This one's hard to separate. Jelgava have averaged 1 scored and 1.66 conceded recently, against BFC Daugavpils's 1.28 scored and 1.1 conceded. Head-to-head, Jelgava have won 0 to BFC Daugavpils's 3, with 2 draws. They last met on 1. aug. 2026, ending 2:1. xG projections (1.00 - 1.25) back BFC Daugavpils to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

70%
Jelgava
17%
Uavgjort
13%
BFC Daugavpils
Uavgjort-prognose: 17% Favoritt: Jelgava

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

88% / Svært Høy Sikkerhet
  • Form's been kind to BFC Daugavpils lately — more wins on the board than Jelgava.
  • Model gives Jelgava a 70% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Virsliga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 25%
Over 4.5 Mål 11%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 69.4%
Jelgava Rent bur 19%
BFC Daugavpils Rent bur 15%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Jelgava BFC Daugavpils
Kamper Spilt 29 29
Seire 7 10
Uavgjort 7 9
Tap 15 10
Mål Scoret 1 1.28
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.66 1.1
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.00 1.25
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

1. aug. 2026 Virsliga
BFC Daugavpils vs Jelgava
2:1
31. mai 2026 Virsliga
Jelgava vs BFC Daugavpils
1:1
16. apr. 2026 Virsliga
BFC Daugavpils vs Jelgava
1:0
18. okt. 2025 Virsliga
Jelgava vs BFC Daugavpils
0:0
27. juli 2025 Virsliga
BFC Daugavpils vs Jelgava
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Jelgava 67 / 100
BFC Daugavpils 15 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Jelgava BFC Daugavpils

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Jelgava Win (1)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

BFC Daugavpils has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Jelgava went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Difficult form: BFC Daugavpils registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Måltrender

Jelgava VS BFC Daugavpils
1 Mål scoret 1.25
1.25 Mål sluppet inn 1
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Jelgava

(Home)
19 Sept
Jelgava
0 : 1
Riga FC
12 Sept
Grobina
0 : 0
Jelgava
05 Sept
Jelgava
0 : 1
Super Nova
29 Aug
Tukums 2000
1 : 4
Jelgava
22 Aug
Ogre United
2 : 3
Jelgava
Page 1 of 6

BFC Daugavpils

(Away)
19 Sept
FK Liepaja
0 : 0
BFC Daugavpils
13 Sept
BFC Daugavpils
1 : 2
RFS
07 Sept
Riga FC
1 : 1
BFC Daugavpils
02 Sept
BFC Daugavpils
2 : 3
FK Auda Riga
29 Aug
Grobina
1 : 0
BFC Daugavpils
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 RFS 30 23 5 2 71:22 74
2 Riga FC 31 22 7 2 86:30 73
3 FK Auda Riga 31 18 7 6 49:30 61
4 FK Liepaja 31 12 7 12 41:43 43
5 BFC Daugavpils 31 10 9 12 35:35 39
6 Super Nova 30 10 5 15 29:40 35
7 Jelgava 31 8 8 15 32:49 32
8 Grobina 31 5 11 15 21:52 26
9 Tukums 2000 31 5 9 17 44:61 24
10 Ogre United 31 4 6 21 30:76 18
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 1. Liga 2027 (Main)