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Jong Ajax vs Jong AZ Alkmaar - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Nederland Nederland

Eerste Divisie Sportcomplex De Toekomst, Ouder-Amstel
man. 23. nov. 2026
VS
07:00 p.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

Jong Ajax host Jong AZ Alkmaar in the Eerste Divisie. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: Jong Ajax at 1.37 goals for, 2.03 against; Jong AZ Alkmaar at 2.29 for, 1.89 against. Head-to-head, Jong Ajax have won 2 to Jong AZ Alkmaar's 3, with 0 draws. They last met on 17. juli 2026, ending 3:0. The numbers (1.63 xG vs 2.50) point toward Jong AZ Alkmaar. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

30%
Jong Ajax
39%
Uavgjort
31%
Jong AZ Alkmaar
Uavgjort-prognose: 39% Favoritt: Draw

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

65% / Middels Sikkerhet
  • Look at the last few games and Jong AZ Alkmaar come out ahead of Jong Ajax on wins alone.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Eerste Divisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 44%
Over 4.5 Mål 20%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 77%
Jong Ajax Rent bur 10%
Jong AZ Alkmaar Rent bur 10%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Jong Ajax Jong AZ Alkmaar
Kamper Spilt 30 28
Seire 10 13
Uavgjort 5 4
Tap 15 11
Mål Scoret 1.37 2.29
Mål Sluppet Inn 2.03 1.89
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.63 2.50
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

17. juli 2026 Club Friendly
Jong AZ Alkmaar vs Jong Ajax
3:0
12. jan. 2026 Eerste Divisie
Jong AZ Alkmaar vs Jong Ajax
1:2
18. aug. 2025 Eerste Divisie
Jong Ajax vs Jong AZ Alkmaar
4:1
13. jan. 2025 Eerste Divisie
Jong AZ Alkmaar vs Jong Ajax
2:1
17. sep. 2024 Eerste Divisie
Jong Ajax vs Jong AZ Alkmaar
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Jong Ajax 29 / 100
Jong AZ Alkmaar 30 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Jong Ajax Jong AZ Alkmaar

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Jong Ajax Win (1)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Jong AZ Alkmaar has conceded goals in 89% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Jong Ajax found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Solid form: Jong Ajax remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Måltrender

Jong Ajax VS Jong AZ Alkmaar
1 Mål scoret 3
2 Mål sluppet inn 2.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Jong Ajax

(Home)
06 Nov
Eindhoven FC
0 : 3
Jong Ajax
02 Nov
Jong Ajax
1 : 1
Vitesse
23 Oct
TOP Oss
3 : 3
Jong Ajax
19 Oct
Jong Ajax
2 : 1
De Graafschap
09 Oct
Jong Ajax
0 : 3
Venlo
Page 1 of 6

Jong AZ Alkmaar

(Away)
06 Nov
Jong AZ Alkmaar
1 : 3
Almere City
30 Oct
Roda
2 : 1
Jong AZ Alkmaar
23 Oct
Jong AZ Alkmaar
5 : 4
Helmond Sport
16 Oct
Venlo
4 : 4
Jong AZ Alkmaar
09 Oct
Jong AZ Alkmaar
0 : 1
Den Bosch
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Heracles 14 11 2 1 44:15 35
2 Venlo 14 9 2 3 37:22 29
3 Almere City 14 9 1 4 30:14 28
4 FC Emmen 13 8 1 4 26:24 25
5 NAC Breda 14 7 4 3 25:20 25
6 Roda 14 7 4 3 18:17 25
7 FC Volendam 14 7 1 6 33:24 22
8 Den Bosch 14 5 4 5 24:22 19
9 Vitesse 13 5 3 5 17:18 18
10 Maastricht 13 5 2 6 17:29 17
11 Waalwijk 14 3 8 3 23:20 17
12 Jong AZ Alkmaar 14 5 2 7 33:31 17
13 Jong PSV 14 4 5 5 18:22 17
14 Jong Ajax 14 4 4 6 22:30 16
15 De Graafschap 13 4 3 6 17:27 15
16 TOP Oss 14 4 2 8 20:23 14
17 Helmond Sport 14 3 3 8 25:31 12
18 Dordrecht 14 3 3 8 18:34 12
19 Jong Utrecht 14 3 2 9 23:34 11
20 Eindhoven FC 14 3 2 9 18:31 11
Promotion - Eredivisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)