Sport Picks
Kampsammendrag
Jong Ajax host Venlo in the Eerste Divisie. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Venlo have shipped 1.72 goals a game lately, while Jong Ajax have conceded 2.07 and scored 1.28. Past meetings favor Venlo slightly — 1-4-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 17. mars 2026, ending 0:1. The numbers (1.69 xG vs 2.69) point toward Venlo. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Seierssannsynlighet
Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form
Modellens Sikkerhet
Aggregert sikkerhetsskår
- Form's been kind to Venlo lately — more wins on the board than Jong Ajax.
- Win probability leans Venlo's way, sitting at 60%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Venlo have taken 4 of them.
Målsannsynlighet
Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie
Siste Formanalyse
Snitt per kamp
| Metrikk | Jong Ajax | Venlo |
|---|---|---|
| Kamper Spilt | 29 | 29 |
| Seire | 9 | 11 |
| Uavgjort | 4 | 6 |
| Tap | 16 | 12 |
| Mål Scoret | 1.28 | 1.83 |
| Mål Sluppet Inn | 2.07 | 1.72 |
| Forventede Mål (xG) | 1.69 | 2.69 |
| Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder
SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks
Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)
Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke
Modell-Prognose
Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder
Smart Innsikt
Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet
Venlo let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.
Attacking prowess: Jong Ajax scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.
These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.
Jong Ajax went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Måltrender
Recent Form & Match History
Jong Ajax
(Home)Venlo
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heracles | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 28:12 | 22 |
| 2 | Almere City | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 18:7 | 16 |
| 3 | Maastricht | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 12:15 | 16 |
| 4 | Venlo | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 21:14 | 15 |
| 5 | Roda | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 9:5 | 15 |
| 6 | FC Emmen | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 18:17 | 15 |
| 7 | Waalwijk | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 18:11 | 13 |
| 8 | Vitesse | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13:11 | 13 |
| 9 | NAC Breda | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 17:17 | 13 |
| 10 | Jong AZ Alkmaar | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 22:17 | 13 |
| 11 | FC Volendam | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 20:16 | 12 |
| 12 | Jong PSV | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14:16 | 12 |
| 13 | Eindhoven FC | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 13:17 | 10 |
| 14 | Helmond Sport | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 15:16 | 9 |
| 15 | Jong Ajax | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13:22 | 8 |
| 16 | Den Bosch | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 12:17 | 7 |
| 17 | Dordrecht | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 12:23 | 7 |
| 18 | De Graafschap | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9:20 | 7 |
| 19 | Jong Utrecht | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 15:21 | 7 |
| 20 | TOP Oss | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 8:13 | 6 |
