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Juventud vs Racing Montevideo

Uruguay Uruguay

Copa Uruguay
tor. 17. sep. 2026
VS
06:30 p.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

A one-off knockout match in the Copa Uruguay. Don't expect fireworks — both sides lean defensive. Juventud have averaged 1.17 scored and 1.23 conceded recently, against Racing Montevideo's 1.07 scored and 0.78 conceded. Past meetings favor Juventud slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 4. apr. 2026, ending 2:1. The numbers (0.76 xG vs 0.94) point toward Racing Montevideo. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

30%
Juventud
39%
Uavgjort
31%
Racing Montevideo
Uavgjort-prognose: 39% Favoritt: Draw

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

65% / Middels Sikkerhet
  • Racing Montevideo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Racing Montevideo arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Juventud, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 13%
Over 4.5 Mål 6%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 71%
Juventud Rent bur 20%
Racing Montevideo Rent bur 19%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Juventud Racing Montevideo
Kamper Spilt 30 27
Seire 9 13
Uavgjort 10 9
Tap 11 5
Mål Scoret 1.17 1.07
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.23 0.78
Forventede Mål (xG) 0.76 0.94
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

4. apr. 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Racing Montevideo vs Juventud
2:1
20. okt. 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Racing Montevideo vs Juventud
0:0
8. juni 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Juventud vs Racing Montevideo
2:1
19. apr. 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Juventud vs Racing Montevideo
1:0
25. juli 2022 Segunda Division
Racing Montevideo vs Juventud
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Juventud 31 / 100
Racing Montevideo 32 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Juventud Racing Montevideo

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Juventud Win (1)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Attacking prowess: Juventud scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Juventud has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Racing Montevideo let in goals in 59% of their last 27 matches.

Måltrender

Juventud VS Racing Montevideo
0.88 Mål scoret 1
0.88 Mål sluppet inn 0.63
50% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Juventud

(Home)
06 Sept
Club Nacional
2 : 2
Juventud
02 Sept
Central Esp.
3 : 0
Juventud
29 Aug
Juventud
2 : 0
Maldonado
26 Aug
Juventud
1 : 0
Club Oriental De Futbol
22 Aug
Central Esp.
0 : 1
Juventud
Page 1 of 6

Racing Montevideo

(Away)
09 Sept
Racing Montevideo
2 : 4
Central Esp.
06 Sept
CA Cerro
1 : 0
Racing Montevideo
03 Sept
Club Oriental De Futbol
1 : 2
Racing Montevideo
31 Aug
Racing Montevideo
1 : 0
Albion
23 Aug
Danubio
0 : 0
Racing Montevideo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Penarol 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
2 Montevideo City 2 1 0 1 2:1 3
3 Danubio 2 1 0 1 3:4 3
4 Atenas 2 0 1 1 4:5 1
Promotion - Copa Uruguay (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Plaza Colonia 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
2 Defensor Sp. 2 0 2 0 1:1 2
3 Rentistas 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
4 Cerro Largo 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
Promotion - Copa Uruguay (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maldonado 2 2 0 0 6:1 6
2 Cerrito 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
3 CA Cerro 2 0 1 1 1:3 1
4 Wanderers 2 0 1 1 2:5 1
Promotion - Copa Uruguay (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Central Esp. 2 2 0 0 7:2 6
2 Racing Montevideo 2 1 0 1 4:5 3
3 Juventud 2 1 0 1 1:3 3
4 Club Oriental De Futbol 2 0 0 2 1:3 0
Promotion - Copa Uruguay (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club Nacional 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
2 Albion 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
3 River Plate Montevideo 2 1 0 1 4:3 3
4 Progreso 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
Promotion - Copa Uruguay (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boston River 2 2 0 0 3:0 6
2 Liverpool M. 2 1 0 1 2:1 3
3 Fenix 2 0 1 1 3:5 1
4 Colon 2 0 1 1 3:5 1
Promotion - Copa Uruguay (Play Offs)