Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Karvan vs Zaqatala PFK

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

I Liqa
ons. 16. sep. 2026
VS
12:30 p.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

Karvan host Zaqatala PFK in the I Liqa. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Karvan have averaged 0.79 scored and 1.83 conceded recently, against Zaqatala PFK's 1.07 scored and 1.69 conceded. Past meetings favor Zaqatala PFK slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 9. mai 2025, ending 3:0. Model xG sits at 1.81 vs 1.56, favoring Zaqatala PFK. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

30%
Karvan
39%
Uavgjort
31%
Zaqatala PFK
Uavgjort-prognose: 39% Favoritt: Draw

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

65% / Middels Sikkerhet
  • Look at the last few games and Zaqatala PFK come out ahead of Karvan on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 31.5%
Over 4.5 Mål 14%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 69.4%
Karvan Rent bur 15%
Zaqatala PFK Rent bur 10%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Karvan Zaqatala PFK
Kamper Spilt 29 29
Seire 4 8
Uavgjort 5 5
Tap 20 16
Mål Scoret 0.79 1.07
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.83 1.69
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.81 1.56
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

9. mai 2025 I Liqa
Zaqatala PFK vs Karvan
3:0
7. mars 2025 I Liqa
Karvan vs Zaqatala PFK
3:2
13. des. 2024 I Liqa
Zaqatala PFK vs Karvan
2:2
5. apr. 2024 I Liqa
Zaqatala PFK vs Karvan
1:1
25. des. 2023 I Liqa
Karvan vs Zaqatala PFK
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Karvan 30 / 100
Zaqatala PFK 30 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Karvan Zaqatala PFK

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Karvan Win (1)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Defensive concern: Zaqatala PFK conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Karvan scored in 52% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Karvan remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Måltrender

Karvan VS Zaqatala PFK
0.88 Mål scoret 1
2.13 Mål sluppet inn 2.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Karvan

(Home)
09 Sept
Sahdag Qusar
2 : 0
Karvan
03 Sept
Baku Sporting
0 : 3
Karvan
24 May
Imisli FK
1 : 1
Karvan
15 May
Karvan
1 : 2
Gabala
10 May
Turan
1 : 0
Karvan
Page 1 of 6

Zaqatala PFK

(Away)
10 Sept
Zaqatala PFK
3 : 0
Baku Sporting
04 Sept
Mingachevir
2 : 2
Zaqatala PFK
22 May
Zaqatala PFK
2 : 1
Safa Baku
15 May
Baku Sporting
3 : 0
Zaqatala PFK
06 May
Zaqatala PFK
0 : 3
Sabail
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sahdag Qusar 2 2 0 0 3:0 6
2 Gancabasar 2 2 0 0 4:2 6
3 Zaqatala PFK 2 1 1 0 5:2 4
4 Sabail 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
5 Karvan 2 1 0 1 3:2 3
6 Mingachevir 2 0 1 1 3:4 1
7 Shimal 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
8 FC Khankendi 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
9 MOIK Baku 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
10 Baku Sporting 2 0 0 2 0:6 0
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - I Liqa (Relegation)