Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kenya vs Eritrea

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations
ons. 23. sep. 2026
VS
04:00 p.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

A one-off knockout match in the Africa Cup of Nations. Don't expect fireworks — both sides lean defensive. Recent numbers: Kenya at 0.88 goals for, 1.88 against; Eritrea at 0.67 for, 0.17 against. Head-to-head, Kenya have won 0 to Eritrea's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on 17. des. 2019, ending 1:4. Model xG sits at 0.53 vs 1.27, favoring Eritrea. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

50%
Kenya
28%
Uavgjort
22%
Eritrea
Uavgjort-prognose: 28% Favoritt: Kenya

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

76% / Høy Sikkerhet
  • Look at the last few games and Kenya come out ahead of Eritrea on wins alone.
  • Kenya are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Kenya have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Eritrea, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 19%
Over 4.5 Mål 9%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 66.2%
Kenya Rent bur 19%
Eritrea Rent bur 20%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Kenya Eritrea
Kamper Spilt 38 16
Seire 13 5
Uavgjort 10 2
Tap 15 9
Mål Scoret 0.88 0.67
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.88 0.17
Forventede Mål (xG) 0.88 0.67
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.88 0.17

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

17. des. 2019 CECAFA Championship
Kenya vs Eritrea
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Kenya 49 / 100
Eritrea 24 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Kenya Eritrea

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips KEN Win (1)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Kenya scored in 71% of their last 38 games.

Defensive concern: Eritrea conceded in 69% of 16 recent games.

Recent resilience: Kenya stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Måltrender

Kenya VS Eritrea
0.88 Mål scoret 0.67
1.88 Mål sluppet inn 0.17
50% Over 1.5 33%
50% Over 2.5 17%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Kenya

(Home)
07 Jun
Kenya
4 : 0
Lesotho
04 Jun
Lesotho
1 : 1
Kenya
30 Mar
Grenada
0 : 3
Kenya
27 Mar
Kenya
1 : 2
Estonia
18 Nov
Senegal
8 : 0
Kenya
Page 1 of 8

Eritrea

(Away)
31 Mar
Eswatini
1 : 2
Eritrea
25 Mar
Eritrea
2 : 0
Eswatini
28 May
Eritrea
0 : 1
Niger
26 May
Eritrea
0 : 0
Niger
03 Nov
Eritrea
0 : 3
Ethiopia
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Morocco00000:00
2Lesotho00000:00
3Gabon00000:00
4Niger00000:00
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Malawi00000:00
2Egypt00000:00
3Angola00000:00
4South Sudan00000:00
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ghana00000:00
2Gambia00000:00
3Ivory Coast00000:00
4Somalia00000:00
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kenya00000:00
2South Africa00000:00
3Guinea00000:00
4Eritrea00000:00
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 5)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sierra Leone00000:00
2Equatorial Guinea00000:00
3Zimbabwe00000:00
4D.R. Congo00000:00
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 6)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mauritania00000:00
2Burkina Faso00000:00
3Benin00000:00
4Central Africa00000:00
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 7)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Namibia00000:00
2Cameroon00000:00
3Congo00000:00
4Comoros00000:00
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 8)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Libya00000:00
2Tunisia00000:00
3Botswana00000:00
4Uganda00000:00
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 9)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Algeria00000:00
2Burundi00000:00
3Zambia00000:00
4Togo00000:00
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 10)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ethiopia00000:00
2Senegal00000:00
3Mozambique00000:00
4Sudan00000:00
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 11)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cape Verde00000:00
2Liberia00000:00
3Rwanda00000:00
4Mali00000:00
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 12)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tanzania00000:00
2Nigeria00000:00
3Madagascar00000:00
4Guinea Bissau00000:00
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)