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Kenya vs Eritrea - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations Nyayo National Stadium, Nairobi
Kenya Logo

Kenya

1 - 1
Slutt
Eritrea Logo

Eritrea

Vårt Tips

Kamphendelser

23'
Bytte
Ali J. Inn: Misignha J.
Ut: Ali J.
29'
Onyango R.
36' Event
Girmai N.
Assist: Sulieman A.
Sammendrag Seier Mål Form H2H Taktikk Spillere Indekser Tips Kampforløp Presisjon Sammenlign

Kampsammendrag

First leg ended 1-1. The second leg ended 1-1.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

70%
Kenya
17%
Uavgjort
13%
Eritrea
Uavgjort-prognose: 17% Favoritt: Kenya

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

88% / Svært Høy Sikkerhet
  • Look at the last few games and Kenya come out ahead of Eritrea on wins alone.
  • Kenya are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Kenya have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Eritrea, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Sterke forsvar taler for en kontrollert og målfattig kamp.

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 85%
Over 1.5 Mål 58.5%
Over 2.5 Mål 25%
Over 3.5 Mål 15%
Over 4.5 Mål 7%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 26.4%
Kenya Rent bur 68%
Eritrea Rent bur 17%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Kenya Eritrea
Kamper Spilt 24 16
Seire 8 5
Uavgjort 6 3
Tap 10 8
Mål Scoret 1.21 0.81
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.42 1.44
Forventede Mål (xG) 0.90 1.29
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

26. sep. 2026 Africa Cup of Nations
Kenya vs Eritrea
1:1
17. des. 2019 CECAFA Championship
Kenya vs Eritrea
1:4

Nøkkelspiller-Analyse

Toppspillere og forventet involvering

Kenya Sammenlign

Toppscorer Ogam R.
1 Mål
Snitt xG / kamp 0.69
Snitt xA / kamp 0.45

Eritrea Sammenlign

Toppscorer Girmai N.
1 Mål
Snitt xG / kamp 1.17
Snitt xA / kamp 0.72

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Kenya 77 / 100
Eritrea 15 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Kenya Eritrea

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Kenya Win (1)
Sekundærtips Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Prognose No (NG)
Over/Under Tips Under 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Kenya scored in 71% of their last 24 games.

Defensive concern: Eritrea conceded in 69% of 16 recent games.

Recent resilience: Kenya stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Måltrender

Kenya VS Eritrea
0.63 Mål scoret 0.83
1.75 Mål sluppet inn 1.17
50% Over 1.5 67%
50% Over 2.5 33%
13% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

Kenya

(Home)
05 Oct
Rwanda
0 : 0
Kenya
01 Oct
Guinea
1 : 0
Kenya
26 Sept
Kenya
1 : 1
Eritrea
07 Jun
Kenya
4 : 0
Lesotho
04 Jun
Lesotho
1 : 1
Kenya
Page 1 of 5

Eritrea

(Away)
30 Sept
Eritrea
0 : 5
South Africa
26 Sept
Kenya
1 : 1
Eritrea
31 Mar
Eswatini
1 : 2
Eritrea
25 Mar
Eritrea
2 : 0
Eswatini
28 May
Eritrea
0 : 1
Niger
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Morocco 2 2 0 0 4:0 6
2 Gabon 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
3 Niger 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
4 Lesotho 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Egypt 2 1 1 0 5:0 4
2 Angola 2 1 1 0 3:1 4
3 Malawi 2 1 0 1 3:4 3
4 South Sudan 2 0 0 2 1:7 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ivory Coast 2 2 0 0 4:0 6
2 Gambia 2 2 0 0 6:3 6
3 Somalia 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
4 Ghana 2 0 0 2 2:6 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Africa 2 2 0 0 7:1 6
2 Guinea 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
3 Eritrea 2 0 1 1 1:6 1
4 Kenya 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 D.R. Congo 2 2 0 0 4:1 6
2 Zimbabwe 2 1 0 1 4:4 3
3 Equatorial Guinea 2 1 0 1 1:2 3
4 Sierra Leone 2 0 0 2 2:4 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Benin 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
2 Burkina Faso 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
3 Mauritania 2 1 0 1 4:3 3
4 Central Africa 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cameroon 2 1 1 0 4:2 4
2 Comoros 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
3 Namibia 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
4 Congo 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uganda 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
2 Botswana 2 0 2 0 4:4 2
3 Tunisia 2 0 2 0 3:3 2
4 Libya 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Algeria 2 1 1 0 5:3 4
2 Zambia 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
3 Togo 2 1 0 1 1:2 3
4 Burundi 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Senegal 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
2 Mozambique 2 1 1 0 5:2 4
3 Sudan 2 1 0 1 2:4 3
4 Ethiopia 2 0 0 2 0:2 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rwanda 2 2 0 0 5:2 6
2 Mali 2 2 0 0 4:1 6
3 Cape Verde 2 0 0 2 2:5 0
4 Liberia 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 12)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guinea Bissau 2 2 0 0 5:0 6
2 Nigeria 2 1 0 1 2:4 3
3 Tanzania 2 0 1 1 1:3 1
4 Madagascar 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)