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Stadium Background

Krasnodar vs Fakel Voronezh - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

Russian Cup Ozon Arena, Krasnodar
tir. 13. okt. 2026
VS
05:45 p.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

The first leg ended 1-2. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: Krasnodar at 1.79 goals for, 0.82 against; Fakel Voronezh at 1 for, 1.18 against. Past meetings favor Krasnodar slightly — 4-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 1. sep. 2026, ending 1:2. The numbers (1.38 xG vs 0.63) point toward Krasnodar. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

70%
Krasnodar
17%
Uavgjort
13%
Fakel Voronezh
Uavgjort-prognose: 17% Favoritt: Krasnodar

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

88% / Svært Høy Sikkerhet
  • Krasnodar have won more games recently than Fakel Voronezh.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Krasnodar taking it.
  • Krasnodar have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Krasnodar, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Krasnodar have taken 4 of them.

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 19%
Over 4.5 Mål 9%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 71.4%
Krasnodar Rent bur 20%
Fakel Voronezh Rent bur 10%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Krasnodar Fakel Voronezh
Kamper Spilt 28 28
Seire 18 6
Uavgjort 8 9
Tap 2 13
Mål Scoret 1.79 1
Mål Sluppet Inn 0.82 1.18
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.38 0.63
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

1. sep. 2026 Russian Cup
Fakel Voronezh vs Krasnodar
1:2
2. aug. 2026 Premier League
Krasnodar vs Fakel Voronezh
3:2
30. mars 2025 Premier League
Krasnodar vs Fakel Voronezh
5:0
4. aug. 2024 Premier League
Fakel Voronezh vs Krasnodar
0:0
19. apr. 2024 Premier League
Krasnodar vs Fakel Voronezh
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Krasnodar 67 / 100
Fakel Voronezh 14 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Krasnodar Fakel Voronezh

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Krasnodar Win (1)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Krasnodar's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Krasnodar went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Fakel Voronezh conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Måltrender

Krasnodar VS Fakel Voronezh
1.38 Mål scoret 0.75
0.5 Mål sluppet inn 1.38
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Krasnodar

(Home)
03 Oct
FK Rostov
0 : 3
Krasnodar
17 Sept
Orenburg
0 : 0
Krasnodar
13 Sept
Krasnodar
1 : 1
Akron Togliatti
05 Sept
Krylya Sovetov Samara
2 : 2
Krasnodar
01 Sept
Fakel Voronezh
1 : 2
Krasnodar
Page 1 of 6

Fakel Voronezh

(Away)
03 Oct
Fakel Voronezh
1 : 0
Vitebsk
16 Sept
Spartak Moscow
1 : 0
Fakel Voronezh
12 Sept
Fakel Voronezh
2 : 2
Baltika
05 Sept
FK Rostov
3 : 1
Fakel Voronezh
01 Sept
Fakel Voronezh
1 : 2
Krasnodar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spartak Moscow 3 2 0 1 9:3 7
2 Rubin Kazan 3 2 0 1 2:7 4
3 Orenburg 3 1 0 2 6:7 4
4 Rodina Moscow 3 1 0 2 7:7 3
Promotion - Russian Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Russian Cup (Regions Path - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Krasnodar 3 3 0 0 3:2 7
2 Dynamo Moscow 3 2 0 1 4:1 6
3 Akhmat Grozny 3 1 0 2 3:5 4
4 Fakel Voronezh 3 0 0 3 2:4 1
Promotion - Russian Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Russian Cup (Regions Path - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zenit St Petersburg 3 3 0 0 4:0 8
2 Krylya Sovetov Samara 3 2 0 1 2:1 6
3 Baltika 3 1 0 2 1:2 3
4 Dynamo Makhachkala 3 0 0 3 2:6 1
Promotion - Russian Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Russian Cup (Regions Path - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Rostov 3 3 0 0 7:0 9
2 Akron Togliatti 3 2 0 1 1:4 5
3 CSKA Moscow 3 1 0 2 1:4 2
4 Lokomotiv Moscow 3 0 0 3 1:2 2
Promotion - Russian Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Russian Cup (Regions Path - Play Offs)