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Lancaster vs Stockton - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

NPL Premier Division
tir. 13. okt. 2026
VS
06:45 p.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

Lancaster host Stockton in the NPL Premier Division. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Lancaster have averaged 1.46 scored and 1.61 conceded recently, against Stockton's 1.14 scored and 1.75 conceded. Past meetings favor Stockton slightly — 1-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 18. apr. 2026, ending 1:1. The numbers (1.38 xG vs 1.63) point toward Lancaster. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

27%
Lancaster
33%
Uavgjort
40%
Stockton
Uavgjort-prognose: 33% Favoritt: Stockton

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

70% / Middels Sikkerhet
  • Stockton haven't matched Lancaster's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Stockton a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 99%
Over 1.5 Mål 88%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 25.5%
Over 4.5 Mål 11%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 74.2%
Lancaster Rent bur 14%
Stockton Rent bur 10%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Lancaster Stockton
Kamper Spilt 28 28
Seire 11 7
Uavgjort 6 6
Tap 11 15
Mål Scoret 1.46 1.14
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.61 1.75
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.38 1.63
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

18. apr. 2026 NPL Premier Division
Stockton vs Lancaster
1:1
22. nov. 2025 NPL Premier Division
Lancaster vs Stockton
1:2
15. jan. 2025 NPL Premier Division
Stockton vs Lancaster
1:0
10. sep. 2024 NPL Premier Division
Lancaster vs Stockton
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Lancaster 27 / 100
Stockton 38 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Lancaster Stockton

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Stockton Win (2)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Lancaster's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Stockton's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.25 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Lancaster stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Måltrender

Lancaster VS Stockton
1 Mål scoret 1.5
1.75 Mål sluppet inn 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Lancaster

(Home)
07 Oct
Avro
5 : 3
Lancaster
03 Oct
Lancaster
2 : 1
Ilkeston
29 Sept
Whitby
1 : 2
Lancaster
26 Sept
Cleethorpes
5 : 1
Lancaster
19 Sept
Bradford PA
1 : 0
Lancaster
Page 1 of 6

Stockton

(Away)
06 Oct
Stockton
1 : 0
Bury FC
03 Oct
Hyde
2 : 1
Stockton
26 Sept
Warrington Rylands
3 : 1
Stockton
19 Sept
Stockton
5 : 2
Bamber Bridge
12 Sept
Warrington Rylands
1 : 1
Stockton
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cleethorpes 12 8 3 1 27:7 27
2 Avro 10 8 1 1 33:19 25
3 Redcar Athletic 12 7 4 1 23:11 25
4 Guiseley 11 7 1 3 24:11 22
5 Workington 12 6 3 3 23:19 21
6 Warrington Rylands 12 6 2 4 20:17 20
7 Curzon Ashton 10 6 1 3 21:11 19
8 Alfreton 12 6 0 6 18:13 18
9 Warrington Town 10 5 3 2 20:16 18
10 Bury FC 10 5 1 4 19:9 16
11 Gainsborough 10 5 1 4 20:14 16
12 Lancaster 12 5 1 6 16:24 16
13 Hyde 12 4 2 6 13:21 14
14 Ashton United 10 3 3 4 12:11 12
15 Whitby 11 4 0 7 17:32 12
16 Stockton 12 3 2 7 15:22 11
17 Leek Town 11 2 4 5 22:23 10
18 Quorn 11 2 4 5 18:27 10
19 AFC Emley 11 2 4 5 10:22 10
20 Bamber Bridge 11 2 3 6 16:31 9
21 Ilkeston 12 2 1 9 7:26 7
22 United of Manchester 10 1 2 7 12:20 5
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