Sport Picks
Kampsammendrag
Leiria host AFS in the Liga Portugal 2. This one's hard to separate. AFS have shipped 1.07 goals a game lately, while Leiria have conceded 1.36 and scored 1.75. Past meetings favor AFS slightly — 0-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 11. feb. 2024, ending 2:1. xG projections (1.19 - 1.06) back AFS to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Seierssannsynlighet
Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form
Modellens Sikkerhet
Aggregert sikkerhetsskår
- Form's been kind to Leiria lately — more wins on the board than AFS.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).
Målsannsynlighet
Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie
Siste Formanalyse
Snitt per kamp
| Metrikk | Leiria | AFS |
|---|---|---|
| Kamper Spilt | 28 | 28 |
| Seire | 12 | 8 |
| Uavgjort | 7 | 12 |
| Tap | 9 | 8 |
| Mål Scoret | 1.75 | 1.14 |
| Mål Sluppet Inn | 1.36 | 1.07 |
| Forventede Mål (xG) | 1.19 | 1.06 |
| Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder
SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks
Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)
Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke
Modell-Prognose
Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder
Smart Innsikt
Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet
Attacking prowess: Leiria scored in 82% of their last 28 outings.
Leiria went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
AFS has conceded goals in 64% of their last 28 outings.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Måltrender
Recent Form & Match History
Leiria
(Home)AFS
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lusitania FC | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 12:5 | 17 |
| 2 | Sporting CP B | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 10:6 | 15 |
| 3 | Penafiel | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14:7 | 13 |
| 4 | Tondela | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 8:6 | 12 |
| 5 | SC Farense | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11:5 | 11 |
| 6 | Vizela | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7:6 | 11 |
| 7 | Benfica B | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7:5 | 10 |
| 8 | Leiria | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10:7 | 10 |
| 9 | Leixoes | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9:8 | 10 |
| 10 | Portimonense | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6:7 | 10 |
| 11 | AFS | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8:7 | 9 |
| 12 | Academica | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8:10 | 9 |
| 13 | FC Porto B | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6:14 | 7 |
| 14 | FC Felgueiras | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5:6 | 6 |
| 15 | Torreense | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7:10 | 6 |
| 16 | Amarante FC | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6:10 | 5 |
| 17 | Chaves | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6:14 | 5 |
| 18 | Feirense | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1:8 | 1 |