Sport Picks
Leones Negros vs Club Atletico Morelia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Mexico
Liga de Expansion MX Estadio Jalisco, Guadalajara 
Kampsammendrag
The first leg ended 2-0. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Little to choose between these two on current form. Leones Negros have averaged 1.7 scored and 1.48 conceded recently, against Club Atletico Morelia's 1.5 scored and 1.32 conceded. Head-to-head, Leones Negros have won 3 to Club Atletico Morelia's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on 20. sep. 2026, ending 2:0. The numbers (1.75 xG vs 1.44) point toward Leones Negros. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Seierssannsynlighet
Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form
Modellens Sikkerhet
Aggregert sikkerhetsskår
- Leones Negros haven't matched Club Atletico Morelia's recent run of results.
- Model gives Leones Negros a 50% chance of winning this.
- Club Atletico Morelia arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Leones Negros, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).
Målsannsynlighet
Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie
Siste Formanalyse
Snitt per kamp
| Metrikk | Leones Negros | Club Atletico Morelia |
|---|---|---|
| Kamper Spilt | 27 | 28 |
| Seire | 11 | 13 |
| Uavgjort | 7 | 4 |
| Tap | 9 | 11 |
| Mål Scoret | 1.7 | 1.5 |
| Mål Sluppet Inn | 1.48 | 1.32 |
| Forventede Mål (xG) | 1.75 | 1.44 |
| Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder
SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks
Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)
Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke
Modell-Prognose
Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder
Smart Innsikt
Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet
Leones Negros found the back of the net in 85% of recent matches (27 games).
Club Atletico Morelia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 28 matches.
Games between these two average 2.60 goals.
Leones Negros has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
