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Lesotho vs Morocco - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations Toyota Stadium (Free State), Bloemfontein
Lesotho Logo

Lesotho

0 - 2
Slutt
Morocco Logo

Morocco

Vårt Tips

Kamphendelser

45' Event
Diaz B.
46'
Bytte
Letsema T. Inn: Ramakatsa B.
Ut: Letsema T.
56'
Bytte
Koaeane K. Inn: Mapola T.
Ut: Koaeane K.
Sammendrag Seier Mål Form H2H Taktikk Spillere Indekser Tips Kampforløp Presisjon Sammenlign

Kampsammendrag

First leg ended 0-2. The second leg ended 0-2.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

4%
Lesotho
6%
Uavgjort
90%
Morocco
Uavgjort-prognose: 6% Favoritt: Morocco

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

95% / Svært Høy Sikkerhet
  • Morocco carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Morocco a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Morocco arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Morocco, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Morocco have taken 3 of them.

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 96%
Over 1.5 Mål 85.5%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 27.5%
Over 4.5 Mål 12%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 26.4%
Lesotho Rent bur 10%
Morocco Rent bur 68%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Lesotho Morocco
Kamper Spilt 32 52
Seire 8 43
Uavgjort 7 6
Tap 17 3
Mål Scoret 0.69 2.37
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.66 0.52
Forventede Mål (xG) 0.71 2.02
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

29. sep. 2026 Africa Cup of Nations
Lesotho vs Morocco
0:2
18. nov. 2024 Africa Cup of Nations
Morocco vs Lesotho
7:0
9. sep. 2024 Africa Cup of Nations
Lesotho vs Morocco
0:1

Nøkkelspiller-Analyse

Toppspillere og forventet involvering

Lesotho Sammenlign

Snitt xG / kamp 0.55
Snitt xA / kamp 0.35

Morocco Sammenlign

Toppscorer Diaz B.
1 Mål
Assister Ounahi A.
1 Ast
Snitt xG / kamp 1.84
Snitt xA / kamp 1.12

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Lesotho 10 / 100
Morocco 95 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Lesotho Morocco

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Morocco Win (2)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Prognose No (NG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

These sides typically produce 3.33 goals when they meet.

Lesotho found the back of the net in 56% of recent matches (32 games).

Morocco let in goals in 40% of their last 52 matches.

Lesotho went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Måltrender

Lesotho VS Morocco
0.67 Mål scoret 2.38
1.67 Mål sluppet inn 0.75
83% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
17% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Lesotho

(Home)
29 Sept
Lesotho
0 : 2
Morocco
25 Sept
Niger
2 : 1
Lesotho
07 Jun
Kenya
4 : 0
Lesotho
04 Jun
Lesotho
1 : 1
Kenya
29 Mar
Lesotho
2 : 1
Seychelles
Page 1 of 7

Morocco

(Away)
04 Oct
Morocco
1 : 1
Mali
29 Sept
Lesotho
0 : 2
Morocco
25 Sept
Morocco
2 : 0
Gabon
09 Jul
France
2 : 0
Morocco
04 Jul
Canada
0 : 3
Morocco
Page 1 of 11

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Morocco 2 2 0 0 4:0 6
2 Gabon 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
3 Niger 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
4 Lesotho 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Egypt 2 1 1 0 5:0 4
2 Angola 2 1 1 0 3:1 4
3 Malawi 2 1 0 1 3:4 3
4 South Sudan 2 0 0 2 1:7 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ivory Coast 2 2 0 0 4:0 6
2 Gambia 2 2 0 0 6:3 6
3 Somalia 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
4 Ghana 2 0 0 2 2:6 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Africa 2 2 0 0 7:1 6
2 Guinea 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
3 Eritrea 2 0 1 1 1:6 1
4 Kenya 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 D.R. Congo 2 2 0 0 4:1 6
2 Zimbabwe 2 1 0 1 4:4 3
3 Equatorial Guinea 2 1 0 1 1:2 3
4 Sierra Leone 2 0 0 2 2:4 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Benin 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
2 Burkina Faso 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
3 Mauritania 2 1 0 1 4:3 3
4 Central Africa 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cameroon 2 1 1 0 4:2 4
2 Comoros 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
3 Namibia 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
4 Congo 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uganda 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
2 Botswana 2 0 2 0 4:4 2
3 Tunisia 2 0 2 0 3:3 2
4 Libya 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Algeria 2 1 1 0 5:3 4
2 Zambia 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
3 Togo 2 1 0 1 1:2 3
4 Burundi 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Senegal 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
2 Mozambique 2 1 1 0 5:2 4
3 Sudan 2 1 0 1 2:4 3
4 Ethiopia 2 0 0 2 0:2 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rwanda 2 2 0 0 5:2 6
2 Mali 2 2 0 0 4:1 6
3 Cape Verde 2 0 0 2 2:5 0
4 Liberia 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 12)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guinea Bissau 2 2 0 0 5:0 6
2 Nigeria 2 1 0 1 2:4 3
3 Tanzania 2 0 1 1 1:3 1
4 Madagascar 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)