Sport Picks
Lexington vs Orange County SC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
USA
USL Championship Toyota Stadium, Georgetown, KY 
Kamphendelser
9'
9'
Goodrum P.
Assist: Nick Firmino
15'
15'
Epps M.
Assist: Nick Firmino
24'
24'
Goodrum P.
Assist: Ferri B.
Kampsammendrag
The USL Championship game between Lexington and Orange County SC finished 6-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lexington.
Seierssannsynlighet
Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form
90%
6%
4%
Uavgjort-prognose: 6% Favoritt: Lexington
Modellens Sikkerhet
Aggregert sikkerhetsskår
95%
/ Svært Høy Sikkerhet
- Look at the last few games and Lexington come out ahead of Orange County SC on wins alone.
- 90% — that's where the model lands on Lexington taking it.
- European nights carry their own weight — this USL Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).
Målsannsynlighet
Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie
Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 38%
Over 4.5 Mål 17%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 74.6%
Lexington Rent bur 20%
Orange County SC Rent bur 10%
Siste Formanalyse
Snitt per kamp
| Metrikk | Lexington | Orange County SC |
|---|---|---|
| Kamper Spilt | 30 | 29 |
| Seire | 15 | 9 |
| Uavgjort | 3 | 7 |
| Tap | 12 | 13 |
| Mål Scoret | 1.87 | 1.28 |
| Mål Sluppet Inn | 1.37 | 1.76 |
| Forventede Mål (xG) | 2.31 | 0.88 |
| Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder
19. sep. 2026 USL Championship
Lexington vs Orange County SC
6:0
19. apr. 2026 USL Championship
Orange County SC vs Lexington
0:0
12. sep. 2025 USL Championship
Lexington vs Orange County SC
1:1
16. mars 2025 USL Championship
Orange County SC vs Lexington
2:2
Nøkkelspiller-Analyse
Toppspillere og forventet involvering
Lexington Sammenlign
Toppscorer Goodrum P.
3 Mål Assister Epps M.
1 Ast
Snitt xG / kamp 1.78
Snitt xA / kamp 1.16
Orange County SC Sammenlign
Snitt xG / kamp 0.8
Snitt xA / kamp 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks
Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)
Lexington 85 / 100
Orange County SC 10 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).
Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke
Lexington Orange County SC
Modell-Prognose
Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder
Hovedtips Lexington Win (1)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5
Smart Innsikt
Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet
Lexington's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Defensive concern: Orange County SC conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Lexington has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Måltrender
Lexington VS Orange County SC
2 Mål scoret 0.75
1 Mål sluppet inn 2.63
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Lexington
(Home) 03 Oct
Lexington
3 : 1 El Paso Locomotive
27 Sept
Monterey Bay
2 : 3 Lexington
19 Sept
Lexington
6 : 0 Orange County SC
13 Sept
Oakland Roots
1 : 4 Lexington
05 Sept
Sporting Jax
3 : 2 Lexington
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Lexington
3 : 1 El Paso Locomotive
19 Sept
Lexington
6 : 0 Orange County SC
29 Aug
Lexington
0 : 1 Colorado Springs
22 Aug
Lexington
2 : 0 Las Vegas Lights
08 Aug
Lexington
1 : 0 Phoenix Rising
Page 1 of 3
Orange County SC
(Away) 04 Oct
Orange County SC
1 : 2 Monterey Bay
27 Sept
Orange County SC
1 : 0 Pittsburgh Riverhounds
19 Sept
Lexington
6 : 0 Orange County SC
13 Sept
Orange County SC
0 : 2 Las Vegas Lights
06 Sept
Orange County SC
1 : 1 Sacramento Republic
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Lexington
6 : 0 Orange County SC
30 Aug
Oakland Roots
1 : 1 Orange County SC
26 Jul
Monterey Bay
1 : 2 Orange County SC
08 Jul
Hartford Athletic
2 : 2 Orange County SC
04 Jul
Rhode Island
1 : 1 Orange County SC
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay | 27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 46:25 | 52 |
| 2 | Detroit City | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 33:20 | 47 |
| 3 | Charleston | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 52:31 | 46 |
| 4 | Hartford Athletic | 26 | 9 | 12 | 5 | 29:26 | 39 |
| 5 | Rhode Island | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 39:29 | 38 |
| 6 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 28:27 | 38 |
| 7 | Louisville City | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 43:42 | 37 |
| 8 | Miami FC | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 38:45 | 36 |
| 9 | Indy Eleven | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 33:33 | 34 |
| 10 | Loudoun United | 26 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 32:44 | 24 |
| 11 | Birmingham Legion | 26 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 36:43 | 23 |
| 12 | Brooklyn FC | 27 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 27:55 | 18 |
| 13 | Sporting Jax | 27 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 32:73 | 14 |
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | El Paso Locomotive | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 46:35 | 47 |
| 2 | New Mexico | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 41:32 | 46 |
| 3 | Sacramento Republic | 27 | 11 | 11 | 5 | 37:25 | 44 |
| 4 | Lexington | 27 | 13 | 4 | 10 | 49:33 | 43 |
| 5 | FC Tulsa | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 32:25 | 42 |
| 6 | Colorado Springs | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 40:37 | 40 |
| 7 | Orange County SC | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 36:42 | 39 |
| 8 | San Antonio FC | 27 | 9 | 11 | 7 | 29:29 | 38 |
| 9 | Las Vegas Lights | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 35:38 | 36 |
| 10 | Oakland Roots | 27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 33:35 | 34 |
| 11 | Phoenix Rising | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 36:40 | 33 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 27 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 29:47 | 21 |
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)
