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Libertad Asuncion vs Nacional Asuncion - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Paraguay Paraguay

Copa de Primera Estadio Tigo La Huerta, Asunción
lør. 7. nov. 2026
VS
10:30 p.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

The first leg ended 3-0. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Recent numbers: Libertad Asuncion at 1.33 goals for, 1.27 against; Nacional Asuncion at 1.38 for, 0.79 against. Past meetings favor Nacional Asuncion slightly — 1-4-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 2. sep. 2026, ending 3:0. The numbers (1.06 xG vs 1.31) point toward Nacional Asuncion. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Under 2.5 goals.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

36%
Libertad Asuncion
44%
Uavgjort
20%
Nacional Asuncion
Uavgjort-prognose: 44% Favoritt: Draw

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

71% / Middels Sikkerhet
  • Nacional Asuncion's 1.38 goals per match outpaces what Libertad Asuncion have produced (1.33).
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Nacional Asuncion, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Sterke forsvar taler for en kontrollert og målfattig kamp.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Nacional Asuncion have taken 4 of them.

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 85%
Over 1.5 Mål 69%
Over 2.5 Mål 25%
Over 3.5 Mål 19%
Over 4.5 Mål 9%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Libertad Asuncion Rent bur 18%
Nacional Asuncion Rent bur 68%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Libertad Asuncion Nacional Asuncion
Kamper Spilt 33 29
Seire 14 14
Uavgjort 5 9
Tap 14 6
Mål Scoret 1.33 1.38
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.27 0.79
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.06 1.31
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

2. sep. 2026 Copa de Primera
Nacional Asuncion vs Libertad Asuncion
3:0
24. mai 2026 Copa de Primera
Nacional Asuncion vs Libertad Asuncion
2:1
18. mars 2026 Copa de Primera
Libertad Asuncion vs Nacional Asuncion
2:1
27. sep. 2025 Copa de Primera
Nacional Asuncion vs Libertad Asuncion
3:1
19. juli 2025 Copa de Primera
Libertad Asuncion vs Nacional Asuncion
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Libertad Asuncion 36 / 100
Nacional Asuncion 32 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Libertad Asuncion Nacional Asuncion

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Nacional Asuncion Win (2)
Sekundærtips Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Prognose No (NG)
Over/Under Tips Under 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Libertad Asuncion's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Nacional Asuncion has conceded goals in 55% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Libertad Asuncion remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Måltrender

Libertad Asuncion VS Nacional Asuncion
1.38 Mål scoret 1.63
1 Mål sluppet inn 0.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Libertad Asuncion

(Home)
04 Nov
Libertad Asuncion
0 : 1
Cerro Porteno
31 Oct
San Lorenzo
2 : 1
Libertad Asuncion
27 Oct
Libertad Asuncion
3 : 1
Independiente FBC
23 Oct
Libertad Asuncion
1 : 0
Sp. Luqueno
18 Oct
Sportivo Trinidense
1 : 0
Libertad Asuncion
Page 1 of 7

Nacional Asuncion

(Away)
03 Nov
Nacional Asuncion
0 : 2
San Lorenzo
31 Oct
Sp. Luqueno
0 : 3
Nacional Asuncion
24 Oct
Nacional Asuncion
0 : 1
Sportivo Trinidense
17 Oct
Guarani
0 : 2
Nacional Asuncion
12 Oct
Nacional Asuncion
1 : 0
Recoleta
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Olimpia Asuncion 18 12 3 3 34:13 39
2 Nacional Asuncion 18 9 5 4 26:11 32
3 Guarani 18 8 7 3 20:14 31
4 Sportivo Trinidense 18 9 4 5 28:18 31
5 Libertad Asuncion 18 9 3 6 25:20 30
6 2 de Mayo 18 8 6 4 18:18 30
7 Cerro Porteno 18 8 3 7 24:19 27
8 Sportivo Ameliano 18 4 7 7 19:25 19
9 Sp. Luqueno 17 5 1 11 17:33 16
10 Rubio Nu 17 4 4 9 19:29 16
11 Recoleta 18 4 3 11 20:32 15
12 San Lorenzo 18 2 4 12 12:30 10
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)