Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Llantwit Major vs Llanelli

Wales Wales

Cymru South
lør. 26. sep. 2026
VS
01:30 p.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

Llantwit Major host Llanelli in the Cymru South. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Recent numbers: Llantwit Major at 1.34 goals for, 1.75 against; Llanelli at 0.84 for, 2.55 against. Head-to-head, Llantwit Major have won 0 to Llanelli's 4, with 1 draws. They last met on 17. jan. 2025, ending 2:0. Model xG sits at 2.31 vs 1.81, favoring Llantwit Major. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

31%
Llantwit Major
39%
Uavgjort
30%
Llanelli
Uavgjort-prognose: 39% Favoritt: Draw

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

65% / Middels Sikkerhet
  • Llanelli haven't matched Llantwit Major's recent run of results.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Cymru South form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).
  • Llanelli have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 98%
Over 1.5 Mål 87.5%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 63%
Over 4.5 Mål 28%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 71.4%
Llantwit Major Rent bur 11%
Llanelli Rent bur 10%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Llantwit Major Llanelli
Kamper Spilt 32 31
Seire 10 4
Uavgjort 8 5
Tap 14 22
Mål Scoret 1.34 0.84
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.75 2.55
Forventede Mål (xG) 2.31 1.81
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

17. jan. 2025 Cymru South
Llanelli vs Llantwit Major
2:0
10. aug. 2024 Cymru South
Llantwit Major vs Llanelli
2:2
8. mars 2024 Cymru South
Llanelli vs Llantwit Major
2:1
13. okt. 2023 FAW Welsh Cup
Llanelli vs Llantwit Major
4:0
28. aug. 2023 Cymru South
Llantwit Major vs Llanelli
2:5

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Llantwit Major 30 / 100
Llanelli 29 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Llantwit Major Llanelli

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Llanelli Win (2)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Llanelli's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 31 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: Llantwit Major scored in 75% of their last 32 outings.

Llanelli's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Måltrender

Llantwit Major VS Llanelli
0.63 Mål scoret 0.75
2.88 Mål sluppet inn 4
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Llantwit Major

(Home)
22 Aug
Aberystwyth
5 : 1
Llantwit Major
15 Aug
Llantwit Major
0 : 1
Baglan Dragons
07 Aug
Afan Lido
5 : 0
Llantwit Major
01 Aug
Llantwit Major
0 : 3
Pure Swansea
18 Apr
Llantwit Major
1 : 3
Cambrian United
Page 1 of 7

Llanelli

(Away)
04 Sept
Llanelli
0 : 2
Treowen
31 Aug
Aberystwyth
4 : 0
Llanelli
28 Aug
Llanelli
2 : 2
Carmarthen Town
22 Aug
Cardiff Draconians
4 : 2
Llanelli
15 Aug
Pure Swansea
3 : 0
Llanelli
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pure Swansea 5 4 1 0 18:5 13
2 Pontypridd United 5 4 1 0 16:10 13
3 Baglan Dragons 7 4 1 2 7:6 13
4 Aberystwyth 5 4 0 1 16:5 12
5 Treowen 6 4 0 2 15:9 12
6 Carmarthen Town 6 3 1 2 15:14 10
7 Trethomas Bluebirds 7 2 3 2 14:13 9
8 Ynyshir Albions 5 2 2 1 4:3 8
9 Caerphilly 6 2 2 2 5:9 8
10 Afan Lido 7 2 1 4 12:15 7
11 Caerau Ely 6 2 1 3 13:17 7
12 Newport City 5 2 0 3 9:5 6
13 Cardiff Draconians 4 1 1 2 5:7 4
14 Pontardawe 5 1 0 4 5:9 3
15 Llanelli 7 0 2 5 6:20 2
16 Llantwit Major 4 0 0 4 1:14 0
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2027/2028 (Main)