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Stadium Background

Llantwit Major vs Pontardawe - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

Cymru South
lør. 10. okt. 2026
VS
01:30 p.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

Llantwit Major host Pontardawe in the Cymru South. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Pontardawe have shipped 2.32 goals a game lately, while Llantwit Major have conceded 1.77 and scored 1.39. Past meetings favor Llantwit Major slightly — 2-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 23. mars 2024, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.63 vs 1.94, favoring Llantwit Major. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

36%
Llantwit Major
30%
Uavgjort
34%
Pontardawe
Uavgjort-prognose: 30% Favoritt: Llantwit Major

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

66% / Middels Sikkerhet
  • Form's been kind to Llantwit Major lately — more wins on the board than Pontardawe.
  • Win probability leans Llantwit Major's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 70%
Over 4.5 Mål 32%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 75.8%
Llantwit Major Rent bur 10%
Pontardawe Rent bur 10%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Llantwit Major Pontardawe
Kamper Spilt 31 31
Seire 10 9
Uavgjort 8 6
Tap 13 16
Mål Scoret 1.39 1.58
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.77 2.32
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.63 1.94
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

23. mars 2024 Cymru South
Llantwit Major vs Pontardawe
0:0
16. des. 2023 Cymru South
Pontardawe vs Llantwit Major
3:2
28. jan. 2023 Cymru South
Llantwit Major vs Pontardawe
4:1
22. okt. 2022 Cymru South
Pontardawe vs Llantwit Major
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Llantwit Major 34 / 100
Pontardawe 33 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Llantwit Major Pontardawe

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Draw (X)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Pontardawe let in goals in 87% of their last 31 matches.

H2H data points to 3.25 goals as a typical output.

Llantwit Major found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (31 games).

Llantwit Major has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Måltrender

Llantwit Major VS Pontardawe
0.88 Mål scoret 1.38
2.5 Mål sluppet inn 2.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Llantwit Major

(Home)
02 Oct
Carmarthen Town
1 : 2
Llantwit Major
26 Sept
Llantwit Major
2 : 0
Llanelli
12 Sept
Treowen
1 : 1
Llantwit Major
22 Aug
Aberystwyth
5 : 1
Llantwit Major
15 Aug
Llantwit Major
0 : 1
Baglan Dragons
Page 1 of 7

Pontardawe

(Away)
03 Oct
Trethomas Bluebirds
2 : 3
Pontardawe
26 Sept
Pontardawe
6 : 1
Treowen
11 Sept
Pure Swansea
4 : 0
Pontardawe
28 Aug
Aberystwyth
1 : 0
Pontardawe
21 Aug
Afan Lido
1 : 0
Pontardawe
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pure Swansea 8 6 2 0 25:6 20
2 Aberystwyth 8 6 1 1 22:8 19
3 Pontypridd United 8 5 1 2 19:15 16
4 Caerau Ely 9 5 1 3 21:18 16
5 Baglan Dragons 10 5 1 4 11:11 16
6 Carmarthen Town 9 4 2 3 20:19 14
7 Ynyshir Albions 8 3 4 1 9:7 13
8 Treowen 9 4 1 4 18:18 13
9 Afan Lido 10 3 2 5 13:17 11
10 Trethomas Bluebirds 9 2 4 3 17:17 10
11 Pontardawe 8 3 0 5 14:16 9
12 Newport City 7 2 2 3 10:6 8
13 Cardiff Draconians 7 2 2 3 9:12 8
14 Caerphilly 9 2 2 5 9:17 8
15 Llantwit Major 7 2 1 4 6:16 7
16 Llanelli 10 0 2 8 7:27 2
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2027/2028 (Main)