Sport Picks
Llay Welfare vs Holywell Town FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Wales
FAW Welsh Cup 
Kampsammendrag
A one-off knockout match in the FAW Welsh Cup. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Recent numbers: Llay Welfare at 1.27 goals for, 2.54 against; Holywell Town FC at 2.24 for, 1.93 against. Head-to-head, Llay Welfare have won 0 to Holywell Town FC's 3, with 0 draws. They last met on 26. des. 2024, ending 2:0. Model xG sits at 1.67 vs 1.30, favoring Holywell Town FC. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Seierssannsynlighet
Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form
90%
6%
4%
Uavgjort-prognose: 6% Favoritt: Llay Welfare
Modellens Sikkerhet
Aggregert sikkerhetsskår
95%
/ Svært Høy Sikkerhet
- Llay Welfare haven't matched Holywell Town FC's recent run of results.
- Llay Welfare are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Holywell Town FC arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Holywell Town FC, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
- Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).
- Holywell Town FC have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.
Målsannsynlighet
Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie
Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 25%
Over 4.5 Mål 11%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 78.6%
Llay Welfare Rent bur 19%
Holywell Town FC Rent bur 10%
Siste Formanalyse
Snitt per kamp
| Metrikk | Llay Welfare | Holywell Town FC |
|---|---|---|
| Kamper Spilt | 26 | 41 |
| Seire | 4 | 17 |
| Uavgjort | 3 | 8 |
| Tap | 19 | 16 |
| Mål Scoret | 1.27 | 2.24 |
| Mål Sluppet Inn | 2.54 | 1.93 |
| Forventede Mål (xG) | 1.67 | 1.30 |
| Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder
26. des. 2024 Cymru North
Holywell Town FC vs Llay Welfare
2:0
23. aug. 2024 Cymru North
Llay Welfare vs Holywell Town FC
2:5
3. aug. 2024 League Cup
Holywell Town FC vs Llay Welfare
3:1
SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks
Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)
Llay Welfare 85 / 100
Holywell Town FC 10 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).
Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke
Llay Welfare Holywell Town FC
Modell-Prognose
Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder
Hovedtips Llay Welfare Win (1)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5
Smart Innsikt
Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet
Llay Welfare scored in 81% of their last 26 games.
Games between these two average 4.33 goals.
Holywell Town FC let in goals in 76% of their last 41 matches.
Difficult form: Holywell Town FC registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.
Måltrender
Llay Welfare VS Holywell Town FC
0 Mål scoret 1.5
0 Mål sluppet inn 2.13
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Llay Welfare
(Home) 22 Jul
Llay Welfare
4 : 0 Ellesmere Port
05 Jul
Llay Welfare
2 : 0 Llansantffraid Village
01 Jul
Llay Welfare
1 : 2 Denbigh
12 Apr
Llay Welfare
1 : 2 Guilsfield
04 Apr
Denbigh
5 : 0 Llay Welfare
Page 1 of 6
22 Jul
Llay Welfare
4 : 0 Ellesmere Port
05 Jul
Llay Welfare
2 : 0 Llansantffraid Village
01 Jul
Llay Welfare
1 : 2 Denbigh
12 Apr
Llay Welfare
1 : 2 Guilsfield
29 Mar
Llay Welfare
3 : 2 Prestatyn
Page 1 of 3
Holywell Town FC
(Away) 09 Oct
Holywell Town FC
1 : 6 TNS
03 Oct
Ammanford Town
2 : 1 Holywell Town FC
26 Sept
Holywell Town FC
1 : 1 Briton Ferry
18 Sept
Haverfordwest
1 : 0 Holywell Town FC
15 Sept
Holywell Town FC
0 : 5 Colwyn Bay
Page 1 of 9
03 Oct
Ammanford Town
2 : 1 Holywell Town FC
18 Sept
Haverfordwest
1 : 0 Holywell Town FC
11 Sept
Cambrian United
2 : 1 Holywell Town FC
31 Aug
Airbus UK Broughton FC
6 : 2 Holywell Town FC
14 Aug
Llandudno FC
3 : 1 Holywell Town FC
Page 1 of 5
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Airbus UK Broughton FC -
TNS -
Coedpoeth -
Guilsfield -
Llannefydd -
Llandudno FC -
Newtown -
Llanuwchllyn -
Bala -
Holyhead -
Connahs Q. -
Porthmadog -
Penycae FC -
Dolgellau Athletic -
Aberystwyth -
Prestatyn -
Flint Town -
Caernarfon -
Llay Welfare -
Holywell Town FC -
Buckley -
Colwyn Bay -
Brickfield Rangers -
Llangefni -
Denbigh -
Bangor 1876 -
Cefn Albion -
Felinheli -
Llysfaen -
Mochdre Sports -
Pontarddulais -
Goytre Utd -
Trefelin -
Llantwit Major -
Afan Lido -
Penybont -
Caerau Ely -
Llanelli -
Blaen-y-Maes -
Ely Rangers -
Radnor Valley -
Cardiff Draconians -
Barry Town -
Tredegar Town -
Cwmaman Institute -
Ammanford Town -
Llangennech -
Pontardawe -
Caerphilly -
Chepstow Town -
Evans Williams -
Rockspur -
Briton Ferry -
Afan United -
Llantwit Fardre -
Baglan Dragons -
Cardiff Metropolitan University -
Ynyshir Albions -
Cambrian United -
Trethomas Bluebirds -
Carmarthen Town -
Newport City -
Haverfordwest -
Cardiff Corries -
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Semi-finals
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