Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lobos UPNFM vs Marathon - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Honduras Honduras

Liga Nacional Estadio Emilio Williams Agasse, Choluteca
søn. 11. okt. 2026
VS
01:30 a.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

Lobos UPNFM host Marathon in the Liga Nacional. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Lobos UPNFM at 1.03 goals for, 1.45 against; Marathon at 1.31 for, 0.92 against. Past meetings favor Marathon slightly — 0-2-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 14. mars 2026, ending 2:0. xG projections (0.69 - 1.63) back Marathon to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

22%
Lobos UPNFM
28%
Uavgjort
50%
Marathon
Uavgjort-prognose: 28% Favoritt: Marathon

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

76% / Høy Sikkerhet
  • Marathon have won more games recently than Lobos UPNFM.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Marathon taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 19%
Over 4.5 Mål 9%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 68.6%
Lobos UPNFM Rent bur 14%
Marathon Rent bur 20%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Lobos UPNFM Marathon
Kamper Spilt 29 36
Seire 7 15
Uavgjort 9 10
Tap 13 11
Mål Scoret 1.03 1.31
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.45 0.92
Forventede Mål (xG) 0.69 1.63
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

14. mars 2026 Liga Nacional
Marathon vs Lobos UPNFM
2:0
25. jan. 2026 Liga Nacional
Lobos UPNFM vs Marathon
1:1
4. des. 2025 Liga Nacional
Marathon vs Lobos UPNFM
2:0
18. sep. 2025 Liga Nacional
Lobos UPNFM vs Marathon
2:2
4. mai 2025 Liga Nacional
Lobos UPNFM vs Marathon
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Lobos UPNFM 23 / 100
Marathon 49 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Lobos UPNFM Marathon

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Marathon Win (2)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Lobos UPNFM found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Marathon's defensive record shows goals conceded in 56% of 36 matches.

Solid form: Lobos UPNFM remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Måltrender

Lobos UPNFM VS Marathon
0.88 Mål scoret 2
1.25 Mål sluppet inn 0.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Lobos UPNFM

(Home)
18 Sept
Platense
0 : 2
Lobos UPNFM
13 Sept
Lobos UPNFM
1 : 0
CD Choloma
06 Sept
Real Espana
2 : 0
Lobos UPNFM
29 Aug
Juticalpa
1 : 0
Lobos UPNFM
22 Aug
Motagua
4 : 1
Lobos UPNFM
Page 1 of 6

Marathon

(Away)
21 Sept
Juticalpa
3 : 2
Marathon
18 Sept
Alajuelense
3 : 1
Marathon
13 Sept
Marathon
1 : 0
Olimpia
11 Sept
Marathon
2 : 2
Alajuelense
06 Sept
Marathon
5 : 0
Estrella
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Espana 8 5 3 0 13:4 18
2 Olimpia 8 5 2 1 19:7 17
3 Marathon 8 5 2 1 14:6 17
4 Motagua 8 4 1 3 11:8 13
5 Genesis FC 8 3 2 3 10:6 11
6 Olancho 8 2 5 1 6:5 11
7 Estrella 8 2 3 3 13:16 9
8 Atletico Independiente 8 2 3 3 7:11 9
9 Lobos UPNFM 8 2 2 4 7:12 8
10 CD Choloma 8 2 1 5 6:8 7
11 Juticalpa 8 2 0 6 8:19 6
12 Platense 8 1 2 5 6:18 5
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Relegation - Liga Nacional (Relegation)