Sport Picks
Mainz vs Bayer Leverkusen - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Kampsammendrag
Mainz host Bayer Leverkusen in the Bundesliga. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Mainz have averaged 2.76 scored and 1.07 conceded recently, against Bayer Leverkusen's 2.21 scored and 1.17 conceded. Head-to-head, Mainz have won 0 to Bayer Leverkusen's 3, with 2 draws. They last met on 28. feb. 2026, ending 1:1. xG projections (2.19 - 1.75) back Mainz to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.
Seierssannsynlighet
Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form
Modellens Sikkerhet
Aggregert sikkerhetsskår
- Mainz carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Mainz a 40% chance of winning this.
- Regular Bundesliga form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 80%).
Målsannsynlighet
Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie
Siste Formanalyse
Snitt per kamp
| Metrikk | Mainz | Bayer Leverkusen |
|---|---|---|
| Kamper Spilt | 29 | 29 |
| Seire | 17 | 15 |
| Uavgjort | 7 | 8 |
| Tap | 5 | 6 |
| Mål Scoret | 2.76 | 2.21 |
| Mål Sluppet Inn | 1.07 | 1.17 |
| Forventede Mål (xG) | 2.19 | 1.75 |
| Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder
SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks
Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)
Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke
Modell-Prognose
Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder
Smart Innsikt
Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet
Attacking prowess: Mainz scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.
These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.
Defensive concern: Bayer Leverkusen conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.
Recent resilience: Mainz stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Måltrender
Recent Form & Match History
Mainz
(Home)Bayer Leverkusen
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dortmund | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9:2 | 12 |
| 2 | Bayern Munich | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 14:2 | 10 |
| 3 | Freiburg | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12:3 | 10 |
| 4 | Augsburg | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11:6 | 7 |
| 5 | Bayer Leverkusen | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10:5 | 7 |
| 6 | Mainz | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10:6 | 7 |
| 7 | Elversberg | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:7 | 7 |
| 8 | Werder Bremen | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:8 | 7 |
| 9 | RB Leipzig | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9:5 | 6 |
| 10 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9:10 | 5 |
| 11 | Schalke | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:4 | 5 |
| 12 | Paderborn | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:5 | 4 |
| 13 | 1. FC Koln | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:9 | 4 |
| 14 | Hoffenheim | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7:10 | 3 |
| 15 | VfB Stuttgart | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:9 | 3 |
| 16 | Hamburger | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:13 | 3 |
| 17 | Union Berlin | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4:17 | 1 |
| 18 | B. Monchengladbach | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6:16 | 0 |