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Malaga vs Real Sociedad - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spania Spania

LaLiga Estadio La Rosaleda, Málaga
søn. 18. okt. 2026
VS
04:30 p.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

Malaga host Real Sociedad in the LaLiga. Little to choose between these two on current form. Malaga have averaged 1.72 scored and 1.48 conceded recently, against Real Sociedad's 1.59 scored and 1.75 conceded. Head-to-head, Malaga have won 2 to Real Sociedad's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on 7. jan. 2024, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 1.31 vs 1.38, favoring Malaga. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

31%
Malaga
39%
Uavgjort
30%
Real Sociedad
Uavgjort-prognose: 39% Favoritt: Draw

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

65% / Middels Sikkerhet
  • Look at the last few games and Real Sociedad come out ahead of Malaga on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular LaLiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 38%
Over 4.5 Mål 17%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 77%
Malaga Rent bur 17%
Real Sociedad Rent bur 10%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Malaga Real Sociedad
Kamper Spilt 29 32
Seire 10 11
Uavgjort 12 7
Tap 7 14
Mål Scoret 1.72 1.59
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.48 1.75
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.31 1.38
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

7. jan. 2024 Copa del Rey
Malaga vs Real Sociedad
0:1
22. apr. 2018 LaLiga
Malaga vs Real Sociedad
2:0
10. des. 2017 LaLiga
Real Sociedad vs Malaga
0:2
14. mai 2017 LaLiga
Real Sociedad vs Malaga
2:2
16. jan. 2017 LaLiga
Malaga vs Real Sociedad
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Malaga 31 / 100
Real Sociedad 29 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Malaga Real Sociedad

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Real Sociedad Win (2)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Defensive concern: Real Sociedad conceded in 91% of 32 recent games.

Malaga scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Real Sociedad has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Måltrender

Malaga VS Real Sociedad
0.63 Mål scoret 1
1.75 Mål sluppet inn 2
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Malaga

(Home)
20 Sept
Getafe
1 : 0
Malaga
17 Sept
Malaga
1 : 3
Villarreal
13 Sept
Celta Vigo
1 : 1
Malaga
06 Sept
Malaga
0 : 0
Levante
30 Aug
Real Madrid
4 : 0
Malaga
Page 1 of 6

Real Sociedad

(Away)
02 Oct
Real Sociedad
0 : 1
Ath Bilbao
20 Sept
Valencia
2 : 3
Real Sociedad
17 Sept
Real Sociedad
1 : 2
Bournemouth
13 Sept
Real Sociedad
0 : 3
Atl. Madrid
07 Sept
Elche
2 : 3
Real Sociedad
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barcelona 7 7 0 0 31:7 21
2 Atl. Madrid 7 5 1 1 16:7 16
3 Betis 7 5 1 1 9:7 16
4 Real Madrid 7 5 0 2 18:8 15
5 Sevilla 7 4 1 2 10:9 13
6 Alaves 7 3 2 2 11:6 11
7 Dep. A Coruna 7 2 4 1 10:8 10
8 Real Sociedad 7 3 1 3 9:13 10
9 Villarreal 7 2 2 3 13:12 8
10 Ath Bilbao 6 2 2 2 7:6 8
11 Getafe 7 2 2 3 4:7 8
12 Rayo Vallecano 7 2 2 3 11:16 8
13 Osasuna 7 2 2 3 6:13 8
14 Celta Vigo 7 1 4 2 8:6 7
15 Espanyol 7 2 1 4 10:10 7
16 Racing Santander 7 2 1 4 11:21 7
17 Levante 6 1 2 3 8:12 5
18 Elche 7 1 2 4 11:17 5
19 Valencia 7 1 1 5 4:13 4
20 Malaga 7 0 3 4 3:12 3
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - LaLiga2 2027/2028 (Main)