Sport Picks
Kampsammendrag
Maldonado host CA Cerro in the Liga AUF Uruguaya. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Maldonado have averaged 1.79 scored and 0.79 conceded recently, against CA Cerro's 0.93 scored and 1.52 conceded. Past meetings favor Maldonado slightly — 4-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 23. sep. 2026, ending 1:2. xG projections (1.88 - 0.94) back Maldonado to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Under 2.5 goals.
Seierssannsynlighet
Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form
Modellens Sikkerhet
Aggregert sikkerhetsskår
- Maldonado have won more games recently than CA Cerro.
- Model gives Maldonado a 90% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Sterke forsvar taler for en kontrollert og målfattig kamp.
- History favors Maldonado here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Målsannsynlighet
Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie
Siste Formanalyse
Snitt per kamp
| Metrikk | Maldonado | CA Cerro |
|---|---|---|
| Kamper Spilt | 28 | 29 |
| Seire | 15 | 9 |
| Uavgjort | 7 | 6 |
| Tap | 6 | 14 |
| Mål Scoret | 1.79 | 0.93 |
| Mål Sluppet Inn | 0.79 | 1.52 |
| Forventede Mål (xG) | 1.88 | 0.94 |
| Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder
SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks
Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)
Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke
Modell-Prognose
Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder
Smart Innsikt
Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet
Maldonado scored in 79% of their last 28 games.
CA Cerro's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.
H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Maldonado remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Måltrender
Recent Form & Match History
Maldonado
(Home)CA Cerro
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Liverpool M. | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 22:8 | 30 |
| 2 | Montevideo City | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 26:14 | 28 |
| 3 | Club Nacional | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 19:13 | 26 |
| 4 | Maldonado | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 18:10 | 22 |
| 5 | Penarol | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 17:9 | 22 |
| 6 | Racing Montevideo | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 18:14 | 19 |
| 7 | Progreso | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 13:15 | 19 |
| 8 | Juventud | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 12:10 | 18 |
| 9 | CA Cerro | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 15:19 | 18 |
| 10 | Wanderers | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 14:19 | 16 |
| 11 | Boston River | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 15:17 | 15 |
| 12 | Albion | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 15:20 | 13 |
| 13 | Defensor Sp. | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 16:23 | 12 |
| 14 | Danubio | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 7:15 | 10 |
| 15 | Cerro Largo | 13 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 10:17 | 9 |
| 16 | Central Esp. | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 8:22 | 8 |
