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Mali vs Cape Verde - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations Stade du 26 Mars, Bamako
Mali Logo

Mali

3 - 1
Slutt
Cape Verde Logo

Cape Verde

Vårt Tips

Kamphendelser

5' Event
Tia M.
Assist: Sinayoko L.
10' Event
Lopes Cabral S.
39' Event
Nene D.
Assist: Haidara A.
Sammendrag Seier Mål Form H2H Taktikk Spillere Indekser Tips Kampforløp Presisjon Sammenlign

Kampsammendrag

First leg ended 3-1. The second leg ended 3-1.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

40%
Mali
33%
Uavgjort
27%
Cape Verde
Uavgjort-prognose: 33% Favoritt: Mali

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

70% / Middels Sikkerhet
  • Mali have managed 1.17 goals a game lately — Cape Verde are scoring more at 1.33.
  • Win probability leans Mali's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Mali, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • Sterke forsvar taler for en kontrollert og målfattig kamp.
  • Mali have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 85%
Over 1.5 Mål 69%
Over 2.5 Mål 25%
Over 3.5 Mål 22%
Over 4.5 Mål 10%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 26%
Mali Rent bur 68%
Cape Verde Rent bur 14%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Mali Cape Verde
Kamper Spilt 29 30
Seire 12 12
Uavgjort 11 7
Tap 6 11
Mål Scoret 1.17 1.33
Mål Sluppet Inn 0.52 1.17
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.06 1.31
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

25. sep. 2026 Africa Cup of Nations
Mali vs Cape Verde
3:1
3. sep. 2011 Africa Cup of Nations
Mali vs Cape Verde
3:0
4. sep. 2010 Africa Cup of Nations
Cape Verde vs Mali
1:0

Nøkkelspiller-Analyse

Toppspillere og forventet involvering

Mali Sammenlign

Toppscorer Nene D.
2 Mål
Assister Tia M.
1 Ast
Snitt xG / kamp 0.82
Snitt xA / kamp 0.53

Cape Verde Sammenlign

Toppscorer Lopes Cabral S.
1 Mål
Snitt xG / kamp 1.19
Snitt xA / kamp 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Mali 50 / 100
Cape Verde 27 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Mali Cape Verde

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Mali Win (1)
Sekundærtips Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Prognose No (NG)
Over/Under Tips Under 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Defensive concern: Cape Verde conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.67 goals per match.

Mali went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Away concern: Cape Verde has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Måltrender

Mali VS Cape Verde
0.88 Mål scoret 1.75
0.88 Mål sluppet inn 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Mali

(Home)
04 Oct
Morocco
1 : 1
Mali
29 Sept
Liberia
0 : 1
Mali
25 Sept
Mali
3 : 1
Cape Verde
04 Jun
Iran
2 : 0
Mali
31 Mar
Russia
0 : 0
Mali
Page 1 of 6

Cape Verde

(Away)
29 Sept
Cape Verde
1 : 2
Rwanda
25 Sept
Mali
3 : 1
Cape Verde
03 Jul
Argentina
3 : 2
Cape Verde
27 Jun
Cape Verde
0 : 0
Saudi Arabia
21 Jun
Uruguay
2 : 2
Cape Verde
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Morocco 2 2 0 0 4:0 6
2 Gabon 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
3 Niger 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
4 Lesotho 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Egypt 2 1 1 0 5:0 4
2 Angola 2 1 1 0 3:1 4
3 Malawi 2 1 0 1 3:4 3
4 South Sudan 2 0 0 2 1:7 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ivory Coast 2 2 0 0 4:0 6
2 Gambia 2 2 0 0 6:3 6
3 Somalia 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
4 Ghana 2 0 0 2 2:6 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Africa 2 2 0 0 7:1 6
2 Guinea 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
3 Eritrea 2 0 1 1 1:6 1
4 Kenya 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 D.R. Congo 2 2 0 0 4:1 6
2 Zimbabwe 2 1 0 1 4:4 3
3 Equatorial Guinea 2 1 0 1 1:2 3
4 Sierra Leone 2 0 0 2 2:4 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Benin 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
2 Burkina Faso 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
3 Mauritania 2 1 0 1 4:3 3
4 Central Africa 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cameroon 2 1 1 0 4:2 4
2 Comoros 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
3 Namibia 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
4 Congo 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uganda 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
2 Botswana 2 0 2 0 4:4 2
3 Tunisia 2 0 2 0 3:3 2
4 Libya 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Algeria 2 1 1 0 5:3 4
2 Zambia 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
3 Togo 2 1 0 1 1:2 3
4 Burundi 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Senegal 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
2 Mozambique 2 1 1 0 5:2 4
3 Sudan 2 1 0 1 2:4 3
4 Ethiopia 2 0 0 2 0:2 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rwanda 2 2 0 0 5:2 6
2 Mali 2 2 0 0 4:1 6
3 Cape Verde 2 0 0 2 2:5 0
4 Liberia 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 12)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guinea Bissau 2 2 0 0 5:0 6
2 Nigeria 2 1 0 1 2:4 3
3 Tanzania 2 0 1 1 1:3 1
4 Madagascar 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)