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Mamelodi Sundowns vs USM Alger - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Africa Africa

CAF Super Cup Loftus Versfeld Stadium, Pretoria
søn. 8. nov. 2026
VS
01:00 p.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

A one-off knockout match in the CAF Super Cup. Don't expect fireworks — both sides lean defensive. Recent numbers: Mamelodi Sundowns at 2.04 goals for, 1.07 against; USM Alger at 1.24 for, 0.88 against. Head-to-head, Mamelodi Sundowns have won 2 to USM Alger's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on 11. jan. 2020, ending 2:1. xG projections (1.25 - 0.63) back Mamelodi Sundowns to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

50%
Mamelodi Sundowns
28%
Uavgjort
22%
USM Alger
Uavgjort-prognose: 28% Favoritt: Mamelodi Sundowns

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

76% / Høy Sikkerhet
  • Look at the last few games and Mamelodi Sundowns come out ahead of USM Alger on wins alone.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Mamelodi Sundowns taking it.
  • Mamelodi Sundowns have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Mamelodi Sundowns, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 25%
Over 4.5 Mål 11%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 75%
Mamelodi Sundowns Rent bur 20%
USM Alger Rent bur 11%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Mamelodi Sundowns USM Alger
Kamper Spilt 28 25
Seire 17 11
Uavgjort 8 10
Tap 3 4
Mål Scoret 2.04 1.24
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.07 0.88
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.25 0.63
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

11. jan. 2020 CAF Champions League
Mamelodi Sundowns vs USM Alger
2:1
28. des. 2019 CAF Champions League
USM Alger vs Mamelodi Sundowns
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Mamelodi Sundowns 49 / 100
USM Alger 22 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Mamelodi Sundowns USM Alger

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Mamelodi Sundowns Win (1)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Mamelodi Sundowns found the back of the net in 89% of recent matches (28 games).

Solid form: Mamelodi Sundowns remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

USM Alger has conceded goals in 65% of their last 23 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Måltrender

Mamelodi Sundowns VS USM Alger
1.88 Mål scoret 0.75
0.5 Mål sluppet inn 0.63
63% Over 1.5 25%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Mamelodi Sundowns

(Home)
03 Nov
Mamelodi Sundowns
1 : 0
Golden Arrows
31 Oct
Mamelodi Sundowns
4 : 1
Durban City
27 Oct
Mamelodi Sundowns
1 : 0
Marumo Gallants
23 Oct
Mamelodi Sundowns
1 : 1
Wiliete
18 Oct
Wiliete
0 : 0
Mamelodi Sundowns
Page 1 of 6

USM Alger

(Away)
31 Oct
Constantine
0 : 2
USM Alger
25 Oct
USM Alger
:
Panthers
24 Oct
USM Alger
2 : 2
CR Belouizdad
20 Oct
Panthers
:
USM Alger
13 Oct
USM Alger
1 : 0
Saoura
Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Mamelodi Sundowns -
USM Alger -