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Marek vs Cherno More - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Bulgarian Cup
lør. 17. okt. 2026
VS
12:00 p.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

The first leg ended 2-0. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Marek have averaged 1.04 scored and 0.81 conceded recently, against Cherno More's 0.96 scored and 1.61 conceded. Past meetings favor Cherno More slightly — 1-4-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 2. mai 2015, ending 0:2. The numbers (1.63 xG vs 1.13) point toward Marek. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

90%
Marek
6%
Uavgjort
4%
Cherno More
Uavgjort-prognose: 6% Favoritt: Marek

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

95% / Svært Høy Sikkerhet
  • Marek have won more games recently than Cherno More.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Marek taking it.
  • Marek have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Cherno More, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).
  • History favors Cherno More here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 44%
Over 4.5 Mål 20%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 63.4%
Marek Rent bur 20%
Cherno More Rent bur 10%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Marek Cherno More
Kamper Spilt 26 28
Seire 12 8
Uavgjort 6 8
Tap 8 12
Mål Scoret 1.04 0.96
Mål Sluppet Inn 0.81 1.61
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.63 1.13
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

2. mai 2015 efbet League
Marek vs Cherno More
0:2
20. mars 2015 efbet League
Cherno More vs Marek
1:0
8. nov. 2014 efbet League
Marek vs Cherno More
1:3
9. aug. 2014 efbet League
Cherno More vs Marek
0:1
12. okt. 2013 Bulgarian Cup
Cherno More vs Marek
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Marek 85 / 100
Cherno More 10 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Marek Cherno More

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Marek Win (1)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Cherno More's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Marek stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Marek scored in 58% of their last 26 outings.

Måltrender

Marek VS Cherno More
1.13 Mål scoret 1.13
1.13 Mål sluppet inn 2.13
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Marek

(Home)
04 Oct
Chavdar Troyan
0 : 4
Marek
26 Sept
Gorna
0 : 0
Marek
20 Sept
Marek
1 : 3
Rilski Sportist
13 Sept
Marek
3 : 0
Pirin Blagoevgrad
06 Sept
Yantra Gabrovo
3 : 0
Marek
Page 1 of 6

Cherno More

(Away)
04 Oct
Ludogorets
5 : 0
Cherno More
26 Sept
Cherno More
1 : 0
Dunav Ruse
19 Sept
Arda
1 : 1
Cherno More
11 Sept
Cherno More
2 : 2
Lok. Sofia
06 Sept
Lok. Plovdiv
1 : 0
Cherno More
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Chernomorets Balchik 2
Etar 3
TBD -
Spartak Varna -
Natsional Sofia 1
Gorna 3
TBD -
Septemvri Sofia -
Spartak Plovdiv 1
Botev Ihtiman 0
TBD -
Arda -
Balkan Botevgrad 0
Fratria 3
TBD -
Botev Vratsa -
Neftochimic Burgas 2
Svoge 1
TBD -
CSKA 1948 Sofia -
Botev Novi Pazar 1
Vihren 4
TBD -
Lok. Sofia -
Benkovski 0
Akademik Svishtov 3
TBD -
Slavia Sofia -
Oborishte Panagyurishte 1
Yantra Gabrovo 3
TBD -
Lok. Plovdiv -
Zagorets 0
Rilski Sportist 4
TBD -
Dunav Ruse -
Minyor Pernik 1
Beroe 2
TBD -
Ludogorets -
Volov Shumen 0
Chernomorets 1919 2
TBD -
Botev Plovdiv -
Krumovgrad 1
Spartak Pleven 2
TBD -
Levski Sofia -
Chavdar Troyan 0
Marek 4
TBD -
Cherno More -
Rodopa Smolyan 1
Nesebar 3
TBD -
CSKA Sofia -
Lokomotiv Mezdra 2
Pirin Blagoevgrad 3
Yambol 1915 0
Hebar 5
Belasitsa Petrich 1
Dobrudzha 2
Bdin Vidin 0
Montana 2
1/16-finals
Etar -
Spartak Varna -
Gorna -
Septemvri Sofia -
Spartak Plovdiv -
Arda -
Fratria -
Botev Vratsa -
Neftochimic Burgas -
CSKA 1948 Sofia -
Vihren -
Lok. Sofia -
Akademik Svishtov -
Slavia Sofia -
Yantra Gabrovo -
Lok. Plovdiv -
Rilski Sportist -
Dunav Ruse -
Beroe -
Ludogorets -
Chernomorets 1919 -
Botev Plovdiv -
Spartak Pleven -
Levski Sofia -
Marek -
Cherno More -
Nesebar -
CSKA Sofia -
Pirin Blagoevgrad -
Hebar -
Dobrudzha -
Montana -
1/8-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -