Sport Picks
Matsumoto Yamaga vs SC Sagamihara - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Japan
J3 League Sunpro Alwin, Matsumoto 
Kamphendelser
4'
4'
Okita S.
Assist: Tanahashi A.
20'
20'
Kaneko S.
36'
36'
Okita S.
Assist: Nakayama R.
Kampsammendrag
SC Sagamihara in this J3 League matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored SC Sagamihara.
Seierssannsynlighet
Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form
36%
30%
34%
Uavgjort-prognose: 30% Favoritt: Matsumoto Yamaga
Modellens Sikkerhet
Aggregert sikkerhetsskår
66%
/ Middels Sikkerhet
- Form's been kind to SC Sagamihara lately — more wins on the board than Matsumoto Yamaga.
- Win probability leans Matsumoto Yamaga's way, sitting at 36%.
- Regular J3 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Sterke forsvar taler for en kontrollert og målfattig kamp.
Målsannsynlighet
Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie
Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 38%
Over 3.5 Mål 22%
Over 4.5 Mål 10%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 74.2%
Matsumoto Yamaga Rent bur 19%
SC Sagamihara Rent bur 10%
Siste Formanalyse
Snitt per kamp
| Metrikk | Matsumoto Yamaga | SC Sagamihara |
|---|---|---|
| Kamper Spilt | 28 | 29 |
| Seire | 12 | 16 |
| Uavgjort | 5 | 3 |
| Tap | 11 | 10 |
| Mål Scoret | 1.64 | 1.97 |
| Mål Sluppet Inn | 1.29 | 1.66 |
| Forventede Mål (xG) | 1.31 | 1.25 |
| Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder
13. sep. 2026 J3 League
Matsumoto Yamaga vs SC Sagamihara
1:3
19. okt. 2025 J3 League
SC Sagamihara vs Matsumoto Yamaga
1:0
23. mars 2025 J3 League
Matsumoto Yamaga vs SC Sagamihara
2:0
17. aug. 2024 J3 League
Matsumoto Yamaga vs SC Sagamihara
3:2
22. juni 2024 J3 League
SC Sagamihara vs Matsumoto Yamaga
3:2
Nøkkelspiller-Analyse
Toppspillere og forventet involvering
Matsumoto Yamaga Sammenlign
Toppscorer Kaneko S.
1 Mål Snitt xG / kamp 1.01
Snitt xA / kamp 0.66
SC Sagamihara Sammenlign
Toppscorer Okita S.
3 Mål Snitt xG / kamp 1.14
Snitt xA / kamp 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks
Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)
Matsumoto Yamaga 36 / 100
SC Sagamihara 33 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).
Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke
Matsumoto Yamaga SC Sagamihara
Modell-Prognose
Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder
Hovedtips Draw (X)
Sekundærtips Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Under 2.5
Smart Innsikt
Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet
H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.
Matsumoto Yamaga's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
SC Sagamihara let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.
Matsumoto Yamaga went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Måltrender
Matsumoto Yamaga VS SC Sagamihara
1.13 Mål scoret 1.38
1.13 Mål sluppet inn 1.5
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Matsumoto Yamaga
(Home) 11 Oct
Matsumoto Yamaga
1 : 0 Kagoshima United
03 Oct
Matsumoto Yamaga
0 : 1 Gainare Tottori
29 Sept
Matsumoto Yamaga
1 : 0 Albirex Niigata
26 Sept
Tochigi SC
1 : 2 Matsumoto Yamaga
18 Sept
Kumamoto
0 : 0 Matsumoto Yamaga
Page 1 of 6
11 Oct
Matsumoto Yamaga
1 : 0 Kagoshima United
03 Oct
Matsumoto Yamaga
0 : 1 Gainare Tottori
29 Sept
Matsumoto Yamaga
1 : 0 Albirex Niigata
13 Sept
Matsumoto Yamaga
1 : 3 SC Sagamihara
09 Sept
Matsumoto Yamaga
4 : 3 Shonan Bellmare
Page 1 of 4
SC Sagamihara
(Away) 09 Oct
SC Sagamihara
3 : 2 Kamatamare Sanuki
03 Oct
SC Sagamihara
1 : 0 FC Osaka
26 Sept
Renofa Yamaguchi
2 : 2 SC Sagamihara
20 Sept
SC Sagamihara
1 : 2 Giravanz Kitakyushu
13 Sept
Matsumoto Yamaga
1 : 3 SC Sagamihara
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Renofa Yamaguchi
2 : 2 SC Sagamihara
13 Sept
Matsumoto Yamaga
1 : 3 SC Sagamihara
29 Aug
Ryukyu
2 : 1 SC Sagamihara
15 Aug
Thespakusatsu Gunma
1 : 4 SC Sagamihara
23 May
Thespakusatsu Gunma
7 : 2 SC Sagamihara
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ehime | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 24:10 | 23 |
| 2 | Kagoshima United | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 19:11 | 23 |
| 3 | Renofa Yamaguchi | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 14:7 | 20 |
| 4 | Nara Club | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 21:16 | 20 |
| 5 | SC Sagamihara | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18:12 | 18 |
| 6 | FC Osaka | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 18:9 | 17 |
| 7 | Gifu | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 20:10 | 16 |
| 8 | Kanazawa | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 17:14 | 14 |
| 9 | Kumamoto | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 7:6 | 14 |
| 10 | Reilac Shiga | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 16:16 | 14 |
| 11 | Nagano Parceiro | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 14:14 | 14 |
| 12 | Gainare Tottori | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 12:19 | 13 |
| 13 | Matsumoto Yamaga | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 9:11 | 11 |
| 14 | Ryukyu | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 11:14 | 11 |
| 15 | Tochigi SC | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11:15 | 10 |
| 16 | Giravanz Kitakyushu | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12:18 | 10 |
| 17 | Thespakusatsu Gunma | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 10:19 | 9 |
| 18 | Fukushima United | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 20:25 | 8 |
| 19 | Kamatamare Sanuki | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 12:20 | 5 |
| 20 | Kochi United | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 4:23 | 5 |
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