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Stadium Background

Merthyr Town vs Harborough - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

FA Trophy
lør. 14. nov. 2026
VS
03:00 p.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

A one-off knockout match in the FA Trophy. This one's hard to separate. Merthyr Town have averaged 1.47 scored and 1.5 conceded recently, against Harborough's 1.61 scored and 1.25 conceded. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. xG projections (1.00 - 1.56) back Harborough to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

31%
Merthyr Town
39%
Uavgjort
30%
Harborough
Uavgjort-prognose: 39% Favoritt: Draw

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

65% / Middels Sikkerhet
  • Form's been kind to Harborough lately — more wins on the board than Merthyr Town.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Harborough arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 25%
Over 4.5 Mål 11%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 77.4%
Merthyr Town Rent bur 15%
Harborough Rent bur 15%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Merthyr Town Harborough
Kamper Spilt 30 28
Seire 8 12
Uavgjort 10 11
Tap 12 5
Mål Scoret 1.47 1.61
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.5 1.25
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.00 1.56
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Merthyr Town 31 / 100
Harborough 30 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Merthyr Town Harborough

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Harborough Win (2)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Attacking prowess: Merthyr Town scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Harborough conceded in 79% of 28 recent games.

Merthyr Town has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Harborough's recent record shows 1 losses from the last 5 matches.

Måltrender

Merthyr Town VS Harborough
1 Mål scoret 1.13
2 Mål sluppet inn 1
100% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Merthyr Town

(Home)
31 Oct
Radcliffe
3 : 3
Merthyr Town
27 Oct
Oxford City
3 : 0
Merthyr Town
24 Oct
Merthyr Town
1 : 3
Morecambe
17 Oct
Merthyr Town
1 : 1
King’s Lynn
10 Oct
Darlington FC
1 : 1
Merthyr Town
Page 1 of 6

Harborough

(Away)
31 Oct
Hebburn Town
1 : 1
Harborough
27 Oct
Buxton
3 : 0
Harborough
24 Oct
Harborough
1 : 1
Worksop
17 Oct
Harborough
3 : 1
Spennymoor
10 Oct
Harborough
1 : 0
Southport
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Hebburn Town -
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Warrington Rylands 1
Guiseley 3
Ashton United 1
Redcar Athletic 0
Workington 3
Cleethorpes 2
Bridlington Town 3
Curzon Ashton 2
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Avro 2
Hyde 1
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Chester -
Darlington FC -
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Bury FC 3
Prescot Cables 0
Mickleover 1
Alfreton 2
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Southport -
Chorley -
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Buxton -
Worksop -
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South Shields -
Leek Town 4
Bootle 1
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Bourne 1
Banbury 0
Anstey Nomads 0
Bromsgrove 1
Bedford -
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Needham Market 0
Wingate & Finchley 2
Deal Town 1
Hashtag 3
Braintree -
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Kettering 6
Quorn 2
King’s Lynn -
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Loughborough Students 0
Stourbridge 2
Evesham 0
Halesowen 4
Redditch 3
Gloucester City 2
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Hemel Hempstead -
Hereford -
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Faversham 0
Newmarket 1
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Oxford City -
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Harborough -
Billericay -
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Hastings 2
Waltham Abbey 3
Enfield Town 5
Hanworth Villa 1
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Spalding United -
Dagenham & Red. -
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Dorking Wanderers -
Walton & Hersham -
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Aveley 2
Carshalton 1
Farnham -
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Ebbsfleet -
Folkestone -
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Berkhamsted Town 1
Cray Wanderers 2
Weymouth 3
Sholing 2
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Hampton & Richmond -
Dartford 3
Three Bridges 2
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Horsham FC -
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Torquay -
Didcot 2
Poole Town 1
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Slough Town -
Maidstone -
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Whitehawk 4
St. Albans 3
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Tonbridge -
Taunton Town 1
Wimborne 4
Egham Town 0
Uxbridge 3
Bath City 1
Frome Town 0
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Truro -
Leatherhead 2
Eastbourne Borough 3
Takeley 0
Chertsey Town 4
Dover Ath. -
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Erith Town 3
Burgess Hill 4
Salisbury -
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Chichester City 2
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1/64-finals
Hebburn Town -
Guiseley -
Ashton United -
Workington -
Bridlington Town -
Macclesfield -
Spennymoor -
Scarborough Athletic -
Radcliffe -
Marine -
Avro -
Chester -
Darlington FC -
Bury FC -
Alfreton -
Southport -
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Bourne -
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Braintree -
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King’s Lynn -
Stourbridge -
Halesowen -
Redditch -
Telford -
Chelmsford -
Hednesford -
Hemel Hempstead -
Hereford -
Brackley -
Newmarket -
Oxford City -
Merthyr Town -
Harborough -
Billericay -
Waltham Abbey -
Enfield Town -
Spalding United -
Dagenham & Red. -
Dorking Wanderers -
Walton & Hersham -
Aveley -
Farnham -
Ebbsfleet -
Folkestone -
Cray Wanderers -
Weymouth -
Hampton & Richmond -
Dartford -
AFC Totton -
Horsham FC -
Torquay -
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Slough Town -
Maidstone -
Maidenhead -
Whitehawk -
Tonbridge -
Wimborne -
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Bath City -
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Eastbourne Borough -
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Quarter-finals
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Semi-finals
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Final
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