Sport Picks
Merthyr Town vs Morecambe - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
National League North 
Kamphendelser
37'
37'
Lewis P.
57'
57'
Jarvis C.
72'
72'
O'Kane T.
Kampsammendrag
The National League North game between Merthyr Town and Morecambe finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Morecambe.
Seierssannsynlighet
Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form
4%
6%
90%
Uavgjort-prognose: 6% Favoritt: Morecambe
Modellens Sikkerhet
Aggregert sikkerhetsskår
95%
/ Svært Høy Sikkerhet
- Look at the last few games and Morecambe come out ahead of Merthyr Town on wins alone.
- Morecambe are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular National League North form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).
Målsannsynlighet
Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie
Over 0.5 Mål 99%
Over 1.5 Mål 88%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 13%
Over 4.5 Mål 6%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 75%
Merthyr Town Rent bur 12%
Morecambe Rent bur 20%
Siste Formanalyse
Snitt per kamp
| Metrikk | Merthyr Town | Morecambe |
|---|---|---|
| Kamper Spilt | 29 | 28 |
| Seire | 7 | 11 |
| Uavgjort | 10 | 4 |
| Tap | 12 | 13 |
| Mål Scoret | 1.38 | 1.5 |
| Mål Sluppet Inn | 1.55 | 1.46 |
| Forventede Mål (xG) | 0.69 | 1.75 |
| Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder
24. okt. 2026 National League North
Merthyr Town vs Morecambe
1:3
Nøkkelspiller-Analyse
Toppspillere og forventet involvering
Merthyr Town Sammenlign
Toppscorer Jarvis C.
1 Mål Snitt xG / kamp 0.53
Snitt xA / kamp 0.34
Morecambe Sammenlign
Toppscorer Lewis P.
1 Mål Assister O'Kane T.
1 Ast
Snitt xG / kamp 1.59
Snitt xA / kamp 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks
Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)
Merthyr Town 10 / 100
Morecambe 85 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).
Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke
Merthyr Town Morecambe
Modell-Prognose
Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder
Hovedtips Morecambe Win (2)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5
Smart Innsikt
Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet
Merthyr Town found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).
Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.
Morecambe let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.
Recent resilience: Merthyr Town stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Måltrender
Merthyr Town VS Morecambe
0.63 Mål scoret 1.88
1.63 Mål sluppet inn 0.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Merthyr Town
(Home) 31 Oct
Radcliffe
3 : 3 Merthyr Town
27 Oct
Oxford City
3 : 0 Merthyr Town
24 Oct
Merthyr Town
1 : 3 Morecambe
17 Oct
Merthyr Town
1 : 1 King’s Lynn
10 Oct
Darlington FC
1 : 1 Merthyr Town
Page 1 of 6
24 Oct
Merthyr Town
1 : 3 Morecambe
17 Oct
Merthyr Town
1 : 1 King’s Lynn
26 Sept
Merthyr Town
1 : 2 Marine
19 Sept
Merthyr Town
1 : 1 Truro
05 Sept
Merthyr Town
2 : 1 Macclesfield
Page 1 of 4
Morecambe
(Away) 31 Oct
Morecambe
2 : 0 Scarborough Athletic
27 Oct
Morecambe
1 : 0 Darlington FC
24 Oct
Merthyr Town
1 : 3 Morecambe
17 Oct
AFC Rushden & Diamonds
2 : 1 Morecambe
10 Oct
Worksop
2 : 1 Morecambe
Page 1 of 6
24 Oct
Merthyr Town
1 : 3 Morecambe
17 Oct
AFC Rushden & Diamonds
2 : 1 Morecambe
10 Oct
Worksop
2 : 1 Morecambe
26 Sept
Oxford City
1 : 1 Morecambe
08 Sept
Southport
2 : 1 Morecambe
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | South Shields | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 25:19 | 29 |
| 2 | Oxford City | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 26:11 | 27 |
| 3 | Macclesfield | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 21:11 | 27 |
| 4 | Hereford | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 24:11 | 26 |
| 5 | Buxton | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 30:25 | 26 |
| 6 | King’s Lynn | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 25:21 | 24 |
| 7 | Hednesford | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 24:20 | 24 |
| 8 | Morecambe | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 21:12 | 23 |
| 9 | Chester | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 17:14 | 23 |
| 10 | Bedford | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 17:19 | 22 |
| 11 | Spalding United | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 19:15 | 21 |
| 12 | Chorley | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 23:23 | 20 |
| 13 | Worksop | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 20:21 | 20 |
| 14 | Hebburn Town | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 19:24 | 20 |
| 15 | Telford | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 16:21 | 19 |
| 16 | Brackley | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 18:26 | 19 |
| 17 | Harborough | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 13:17 | 17 |
| 18 | Marine | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 17:19 | 16 |
| 19 | Merthyr Town | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 18:22 | 16 |
| 20 | Radcliffe | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 19:27 | 16 |
| 21 | Scarborough Athletic | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 19:20 | 15 |
| 22 | Darlington FC | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 19:28 | 11 |
| 23 | Southport | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 14:25 | 10 |
| 24 | Spennymoor | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 14:27 | 10 |
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