Sport Picks

Milton Keynes Dons vs Swindon - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England

FA Cup Stadium MK, Milton Keynes

Swindon

Vårt Tips

Sammendrag Seier Mål Form H2H Taktikk Spillere Indekser Tips Kampforløp Presisjon Sammenlign

Kampsammendrag

A one-off knockout match in the FA Cup. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Swindon have shipped 1.62 goals a game lately, while Milton Keynes Dons have conceded 1.29 and scored 1.82. Past meetings favor Milton Keynes Dons slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 14. mars 2026, ending 1:2. The numbers (2.06 xG vs 1.06) point toward Milton Keynes Dons. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

60%

Milton Keynes Dons

22%

Uavgjort

18%

Swindon

Uavgjort-prognose: 22% Favoritt: Milton Keynes Dons

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

82% / Svært Høy Sikkerhet

Swindon haven't matched Milton Keynes Dons's recent run of results.
Win probability leans Milton Keynes Dons's way, sitting at 60%.
Milton Keynes Dons have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Milton Keynes Dons, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%

Over 1.5 Mål 82%

Over 2.5 Mål 78%

Over 3.5 Mål 38%

Over 4.5 Mål 17%

Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 74.2%

Milton Keynes Dons Rent bur 20%

Swindon Rent bur 10%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk	Milton Keynes Dons	Swindon
Kamper Spilt	28	29
Seire	11	10
Uavgjort	10	5
Tap	7	14
Mål Scoret	1.82	1.24
Mål Sluppet Inn	1.29	1.62
Forventede Mål (xG)	2.06	1.06
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

14. mars 2026 League Two

Swindon vs Milton Keynes Dons

1:2

26. des. 2025 League Two

Milton Keynes Dons vs Swindon

1:0

11. nov. 2025 EFL Trophy

Milton Keynes Dons vs Swindon

0:4

3. mai 2025 League Two

Swindon vs Milton Keynes Dons

0:0

9. nov. 2024 League Two

Milton Keynes Dons vs Swindon

3:1

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Milton Keynes Dons 58 / 100

Swindon 18 / 100

Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

Milton Keynes Dons Swindon

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Milton Keynes Dons Win (1)

Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)

Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Swindon has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Milton Keynes Dons's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Recent resilience: Milton Keynes Dons stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Måltrender

Milton Keynes Dons VS Swindon

3.13 Mål scoret 0.63

1.5 Mål sluppet inn 1

88% Over 1.5 50%

75% Over 2.5 13%

63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Milton Keynes Dons

(Home)

31 Oct

Milton Keynes Dons

6 : 1

Doncaster

27 Oct

Milton Keynes Dons

4 : 1

Bromley

24 Oct

Stevenage

0 : 1

Milton Keynes Dons

20 Oct

Blackpool

2 : 0

Milton Keynes Dons

17 Oct

Milton Keynes Dons

2 : 1

Luton

Page 1 of 6

Swindon

(Away)

31 Oct

Swindon

2 : 1

Rotherham

24 Oct

Bristol Rovers

0 : 0

Swindon

20 Oct

Barnet

1 : 3

Swindon

17 Oct

Swindon

1 : 1

Walsall

10 Oct

Swindon

0 : 1

Crewe

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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1/128-finals

Dover Ath. -

Wealdstone -

Mansfield -

Macclesfield -

Huddersfield -

Exeter -

Luton -

Forest Green -

Bristol Rovers -

Cambridge Utd -

Oldham -

Sheffield Wed -

Kidderminster -

Doncaster -

Leyton Orient -

Harborough -

Accrington -

Wycombe -

Milton Keynes Dons -

Swindon -

Newport -

Walsall -

Bromley -

Rotherham -

Barnet -

Tranmere -

Fleetwood Town -

Rochdale -

Barnsley -

Aldershot -

Plymouth Parkway -

Berkhamsted Town -

Chesterfield -

Yeovil -

Gillingham -

Barrow -

Harrogate -

AFC Fylde -

Crewe -

AFC Wimbledon -

Oxford Utd -

Stevenage -

Burton -

AFC Rushden & Diamonds -

Cray Wanderers -

Stockport County -

Port Vale -

Scunthorpe -

Cheltenham -

Halifax -

Colchester -

Worcester -

Eastleigh -

Shrewsbury -

Peterborough -

Reading -

Wimborne -

Crawley Town -

Plymouth -

Alvechurch -

Hornchurch -

Blackpool -

Guiseley -

Sutton -

Stafford -

Grimsby -

Oxford City -

Leicester -

Bradford City -

Marine -

York City -

Northampton -

Altrincham -

Notts County -

Boreham Wood -

Wigan -

Carlisle -

Salford -

Salisbury -

Sholing -

TBD -

1/64-finals

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1/32-finals

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1/16-finals

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1/8-finals

TBD -

Quarter-finals

TBD -

Semi-finals

TBD -

Final

TBD -

Milton Keynes Dons vs Swindon - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England

Milton Keynes Dons

Swindon

Kampsammendrag

Seierssannsynlighet

Modellens Sikkerhet

Målsannsynlighet

Siste Formanalyse

H2H

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

Modell-Prognose

Smart Innsikt

Måltrender

Recent Form & Match History

Milton Keynes Dons

Swindon

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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