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Mohun Bagan vs East Bengal Prediction & H2H Stats

India India

IFA Shield Vivekananda Yuba Bharati Krirangan, Kolkata
fre. 2. okt. 2026
VS
09:30 a.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

The first leg ended 1-2. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. This one's hard to separate. Mohun Bagan have averaged 2.14 scored and 0.64 conceded recently, against East Bengal's 2.36 scored and 0.67 conceded. Past meetings favor Mohun Bagan slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 23. aug. 2026, ending 4:1. xG projections (1.04 - 1.44) back East Bengal to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

36%
Mohun Bagan
44%
Uavgjort
20%
East Bengal
Uavgjort-prognose: 44% Favoritt: Draw

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

71% / Middels Sikkerhet
  • East Bengal have won more games recently than Mohun Bagan.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • East Bengal arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 23%
Over 4.5 Mål 10%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 69.8%
Mohun Bagan Rent bur 16%
East Bengal Rent bur 14%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Mohun Bagan East Bengal
Kamper Spilt 28 33
Seire 17 21
Uavgjort 8 9
Tap 3 3
Mål Scoret 2.14 2.36
Mål Sluppet Inn 0.64 0.67
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.04 1.44
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

23. aug. 2026 Durand Cup
East Bengal vs Mohun Bagan
4:1
25. juli 2026 Durand Cup
East Bengal vs Mohun Bagan
0:1
17. mai 2026 ISL
Mohun Bagan vs East Bengal
1:1
31. okt. 2025 Super Cup
Mohun Bagan vs East Bengal
0:0
18. okt. 2025 IFA Shield
East Bengal vs Mohun Bagan
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Mohun Bagan 36 / 100
East Bengal 21 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Mohun Bagan East Bengal

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips East Bengal Win (2)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Mohun Bagan's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Mohun Bagan went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

East Bengal has conceded goals in 55% of their last 33 outings.

Måltrender

Mohun Bagan VS East Bengal
1.83 Mål scoret 1.88
1 Mål sluppet inn 0.25
67% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
33% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Mohun Bagan

(Home)
29 Sept
Mohun Bagan
1 : 1
North East United
23 Sept
Mohun Bagan
6 : 0
Sreenidi Deccan
23 Aug
East Bengal
4 : 1
Mohun Bagan
20 Aug
Mohun Bagan
1 : 0
North East United
17 Aug
Mohun Bagan
2 : 1
Jamshedpur
Page 1 of 6

East Bengal

(Away)
30 Sept
East Bengal
0 : 1
Minerva Punjab
24 Sept
Calcutta Customs
1 : 3
East Bengal
19 Sept
Coal India
0 : 7
East Bengal
16 Sept
Al Hussein
2 : 2
East Bengal
14 Sept
East Bengal
1 : 1
Mohammedan
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Mohun Bagan -
East Bengal -
Minerva Punjab -
North East United -
Final
TBD -
TBD -