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Mozambique vs Senegal - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations Estádio do Zimpeto, Maputo
Vårt Tips

Kamphendelser

29'
Witiness J.
32' Event
Jackson N.
Assist: Sima A.
38'
Guimaraes R.

Kampsammendrag

First leg ended 1-1. The second leg ended 1-1.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

4%
Mozambique
6%
Uavgjort
90%
Senegal
Uavgjort-prognose: 6% Favoritt: Senegal

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

95% / Svært Høy Sikkerhet
  • Senegal carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Senegal's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Senegal arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Senegal, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).
  • Senegal have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 44%
Over 4.5 Mål 20%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 30%
Mozambique Rent bur 13%
Senegal Rent bur 68%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Mozambique Senegal
Kamper Spilt 29 32
Seire 9 19
Uavgjort 5 6
Tap 15 7
Mål Scoret 1.1 1.97
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.76 0.84
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.00 1.67
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

25. sep. 2026 Africa Cup of Nations
Mozambique vs Senegal
1:1
28. mars 2023 Africa Cup of Nations
Mozambique vs Senegal
0:1
24. mars 2023 Africa Cup of Nations
Senegal vs Mozambique
5:1
17. juli 2022 COSAFA Cup
Mozambique vs Senegal
1:2
9. juli 2021 COSAFA Cup
Senegal vs Mozambique
1:0

Nøkkelspiller-Analyse

Toppspillere og forventet involvering

Mozambique Sammenlign

Toppscorer Catamo G.
1 Mål
Snitt xG / kamp 0.77
Snitt xA / kamp 0.5

Senegal Sammenlign

Toppscorer Jackson N.
1 Mål
Snitt xG / kamp 1.52
Snitt xA / kamp 0.93

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Mozambique 10 / 100
Senegal 95 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Mozambique Senegal

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Senegal Win (2)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Prognose No (NG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Mozambique's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Senegal's defensive record shows goals conceded in 44% of 32 matches.

Solid form: Mozambique remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Måltrender

Mozambique VS Senegal
1 Mål scoret 1.5
1.83 Mål sluppet inn 1
67% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Mozambique

(Home)
29 Sept
Mozambique
4 : 1
Sudan
25 Sept
Mozambique
1 : 1
Senegal
09 Jun
Indonesia
1 : 0
Mozambique
07 Jun
Oman
4 : 1
Mozambique
05 Jan
Nigeria
4 : 0
Mozambique
Page 1 of 6

Senegal

(Away)
04 Oct
Comoros
0 : 1
Senegal
29 Sept
Ethiopia
0 : 1
Senegal
25 Sept
Mozambique
1 : 1
Senegal
01 Jul
Belgium
3 : 2
Senegal
26 Jun
Senegal
5 : 0
Iraq
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Morocco 2 2 0 0 4:0 6
2 Gabon 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
3 Niger 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
4 Lesotho 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Egypt 2 1 1 0 5:0 4
2 Angola 2 1 1 0 3:1 4
3 Malawi 2 1 0 1 3:4 3
4 South Sudan 2 0 0 2 1:7 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ivory Coast 2 2 0 0 4:0 6
2 Gambia 2 2 0 0 6:3 6
3 Somalia 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
4 Ghana 2 0 0 2 2:6 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Africa 2 2 0 0 7:1 6
2 Guinea 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
3 Eritrea 2 0 1 1 1:6 1
4 Kenya 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 D.R. Congo 2 2 0 0 4:1 6
2 Zimbabwe 2 1 0 1 4:4 3
3 Equatorial Guinea 2 1 0 1 1:2 3
4 Sierra Leone 2 0 0 2 2:4 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Benin 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
2 Burkina Faso 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
3 Mauritania 2 1 0 1 4:3 3
4 Central Africa 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cameroon 2 1 1 0 4:2 4
2 Comoros 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
3 Namibia 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
4 Congo 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uganda 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
2 Botswana 2 0 2 0 4:4 2
3 Tunisia 2 0 2 0 3:3 2
4 Libya 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Algeria 2 1 1 0 5:3 4
2 Zambia 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
3 Togo 2 1 0 1 1:2 3
4 Burundi 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Senegal 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
2 Mozambique 2 1 1 0 5:2 4
3 Sudan 2 1 0 1 2:4 3
4 Ethiopia 2 0 0 2 0:2 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rwanda 2 2 0 0 5:2 6
2 Mali 2 2 0 0 4:1 6
3 Cape Verde 2 0 0 2 2:5 0
4 Liberia 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 12)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guinea Bissau 2 2 0 0 5:0 6
2 Nigeria 2 1 0 1 2:4 3
3 Tanzania 2 0 1 1 1:3 1
4 Madagascar 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)