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Mozambique vs Sudan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations Estádio do Zimpeto, Maputo
Vårt Tips

Kamphendelser

23'
Bytte
Vilanculos G. Inn: Mathe C. O.
Ut: Vilanculos G.
24' Event
Witiness J.
Assist: Guimaraes R.
46'
Bytte
Januario B. A. Inn: Cherene O.
Ut: Januario B. A.

Kampsammendrag

First leg ended 4-1. This leg finished 4-1.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

30%
Mozambique
39%
Uavgjort
31%
Sudan
Uavgjort-prognose: 39% Favoritt: Draw

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

65% / Middels Sikkerhet
  • Mozambique have won more games recently than Sudan.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Mozambique have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Mozambique, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • Sterke forsvar taler for en kontrollert og målfattig kamp.
  • History favors Mozambique here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 85%
Over 1.5 Mål 69%
Over 2.5 Mål 25%
Over 3.5 Mål 22%
Over 4.5 Mål 10%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 29.6%
Mozambique Rent bur 68%
Sudan Rent bur 11%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Mozambique Sudan
Kamper Spilt 29 27
Seire 9 7
Uavgjort 5 8
Tap 15 12
Mål Scoret 1.1 0.74
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.76 1.15
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.25 1.38
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

29. sep. 2026 Africa Cup of Nations
Mozambique vs Sudan
4:1
22. apr. 2000 World Championship
Mozambique vs Sudan
2:1
8. apr. 2000 World Championship
Sudan vs Mozambique
1:0

Nøkkelspiller-Analyse

Toppspillere og forventet involvering

Mozambique Sammenlign

Toppscorer Chamito
2 Mål
Assister Witiness J.
1 Ast
Snitt xG / kamp 0.96
Snitt xA / kamp 0.63

Sudan Sammenlign

Snitt xG / kamp 1.25
Snitt xA / kamp 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Mozambique 41 / 100
Sudan 30 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Mozambique Sudan

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Mozambique Win (1)
Sekundærtips Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Prognose No (NG)
Over/Under Tips Under 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Mozambique found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Sudan conceded in 63% of 27 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Away concern: Sudan has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Måltrender

Mozambique VS Sudan
0.88 Mål scoret 0.38
2.38 Mål sluppet inn 1.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Mozambique

(Home)
29 Sept
Mozambique
4 : 1
Sudan
25 Sept
Mozambique
1 : 1
Senegal
09 Jun
Indonesia
1 : 0
Mozambique
07 Jun
Oman
4 : 1
Mozambique
05 Jan
Nigeria
4 : 0
Mozambique
Page 1 of 6

Sudan

(Away)
29 Sept
Mozambique
4 : 1
Sudan
25 Sept
Sudan
1 : 0
Ethiopia
03 Jan
Senegal
3 : 1
Sudan
31 Dec
Sudan
0 : 2
Burkina Faso
28 Dec
Equatorial Guinea
0 : 1
Sudan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Morocco 2 2 0 0 4:0 6
2 Gabon 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
3 Niger 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
4 Lesotho 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Egypt 2 1 1 0 5:0 4
2 Angola 2 1 1 0 3:1 4
3 Malawi 2 1 0 1 3:4 3
4 South Sudan 2 0 0 2 1:7 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ivory Coast 2 2 0 0 4:0 6
2 Gambia 2 2 0 0 6:3 6
3 Somalia 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
4 Ghana 2 0 0 2 2:6 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Africa 2 2 0 0 7:1 6
2 Guinea 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
3 Eritrea 2 0 1 1 1:6 1
4 Kenya 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 D.R. Congo 2 2 0 0 4:1 6
2 Zimbabwe 2 1 0 1 4:4 3
3 Equatorial Guinea 2 1 0 1 1:2 3
4 Sierra Leone 2 0 0 2 2:4 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Benin 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
2 Burkina Faso 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
3 Mauritania 2 1 0 1 4:3 3
4 Central Africa 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cameroon 2 1 1 0 4:2 4
2 Comoros 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
3 Namibia 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
4 Congo 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uganda 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
2 Botswana 2 0 2 0 4:4 2
3 Tunisia 2 0 2 0 3:3 2
4 Libya 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Algeria 2 1 1 0 5:3 4
2 Zambia 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
3 Togo 2 1 0 1 1:2 3
4 Burundi 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Senegal 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
2 Mozambique 2 1 1 0 5:2 4
3 Sudan 2 1 0 1 2:4 3
4 Ethiopia 2 0 0 2 0:2 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rwanda 2 2 0 0 5:2 6
2 Mali 2 2 0 0 4:1 6
3 Cape Verde 2 0 0 2 2:5 0
4 Liberia 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 12)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guinea Bissau 2 2 0 0 5:0 6
2 Nigeria 2 1 0 1 2:4 3
3 Tanzania 2 0 1 1 1:3 1
4 Madagascar 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)