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Nairobi United vs Mara Sugar - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Kenya Kenya

Premier League
fre. 16. okt. 2026
VS
12:00 p.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

Nairobi United host Mara Sugar in the Premier League. Don't expect fireworks — both sides lean defensive. Mara Sugar have shipped 0.96 goals a game lately, while Nairobi United have conceded 1 and scored 1.18. Head-to-head, Nairobi United have won 2 to Mara Sugar's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on 1. apr. 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 0.38 vs 0.25, favoring Nairobi United. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

42%
Nairobi United
20%
Uavgjort
38%
Mara Sugar
Uavgjort-prognose: 20% Favoritt: Nairobi United

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

67% / Middels Sikkerhet
  • Nairobi United carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Nairobi United's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 70%
Over 4.5 Mål 32%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 67.8%
Nairobi United Rent bur 20%
Mara Sugar Rent bur 20%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Nairobi United Mara Sugar
Kamper Spilt 28 24
Seire 10 8
Uavgjort 9 9
Tap 9 7
Mål Scoret 1.18 0.96
Mål Sluppet Inn 1 0.96
Forventede Mål (xG) 0.38 0.25
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

1. apr. 2026 Premier League
Nairobi United vs Mara Sugar
1:1
1. okt. 2025 Premier League
Mara Sugar vs Nairobi United
0:1
1. juni 2025 FKF Mozzart Bet Cup
Nairobi United vs Mara Sugar
2:1
2. juni 2024 Super League
Mara Sugar vs Nairobi United
1:0
16. des. 2023 Super League
Nairobi United vs Mara Sugar
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Nairobi United 42 / 100
Mara Sugar 38 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Nairobi United Mara Sugar

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Draw (X)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Nairobi United scored in 68% of their last 28 games.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Nairobi United stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Mara Sugar's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Måltrender

Nairobi United VS Mara Sugar
0.38 Mål scoret 0.25
0.25 Mål sluppet inn 0.38
13% Over 1.5 13%
13% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Nairobi United

(Home)
31 May
Mahia
0 : 1
Nairobi United
24 May
Nairobi United
0 : 0
Police FC
16 May
Nairobi United
2 : 2
Posta Rangers
10 May
Kariobangi Sharks
2 : 0
Nairobi United
06 May
Nairobi United
1 : 0
Tusker
Page 1 of 6

Mara Sugar

(Away)
31 May
Muranga
2 : 1
Mara Sugar
27 May
Mara Sugar
0 : 0
Mahia
16 May
Mara Sugar
0 : 1
Mathare United
13 May
Mara Sugar
1 : 0
Shabana
09 May
Leopards
2 : 1
Mara Sugar
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mathare United 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Ulinzi Stars 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Tusker 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Mahia 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Leopards 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 KCB 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7 Posta Rangers 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 Bandari 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 Kakamega Homeboyz 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 Police FC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11 Migori 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 Shabana 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
13 APS Bomet 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
14 Muranga 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
15 Mombasa United 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
16 Mara Sugar 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
17 Nairobi United 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
18 3K FC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Super League 2027/2028 (Main)