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Nejmeh SC vs Istiqlol Dushanbe - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Asia Asia

AFC Challenge League Hisor Central Stadium, Hisor
lør. 17. okt. 2026
VS
02:00 p.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

Nejmeh SC host Istiqlol Dushanbe in the AFC Challenge League. Don't expect fireworks — both sides lean defensive. Nejmeh SC have averaged 1.71 scored and 0.68 conceded recently, against Istiqlol Dushanbe's 2.14 scored and 0.79 conceded. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. Model xG sits at 1.00 vs 0.56, favoring Istiqlol Dushanbe. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

31%
Nejmeh SC
40%
Uavgjort
29%
Istiqlol Dushanbe
Uavgjort-prognose: 40% Favoritt: Draw

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

66% / Middels Sikkerhet
  • Look at the last few games and Istiqlol Dushanbe come out ahead of Nejmeh SC on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 70%
Over 4.5 Mål 32%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 68.6%
Nejmeh SC Rent bur 20%
Istiqlol Dushanbe Rent bur 15%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Nejmeh SC Istiqlol Dushanbe
Kamper Spilt 28 29
Seire 16 19
Uavgjort 7 5
Tap 5 5
Mål Scoret 1.71 2.14
Mål Sluppet Inn 0.68 0.79
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.00 0.56
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Nejmeh SC 32 / 100
Istiqlol Dushanbe 29 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Nejmeh SC Istiqlol Dushanbe

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Draw (X)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Nejmeh SC scored in 82% of their last 28 games.

Nejmeh SC has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Istiqlol Dushanbe let in goals in 55% of their last 29 matches.

Away concern: Istiqlol Dushanbe has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Måltrender

Nejmeh SC VS Istiqlol Dushanbe
1.75 Mål scoret 0.88
0.25 Mål sluppet inn 0.25
63% Over 1.5 13%
25% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Nejmeh SC

(Home)
08 Oct
Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley
0 : 2
Nejmeh SC
02 Aug
Nejmeh SC
1 : 2
Al Ansar
28 Jul
Nejmeh SC
2 : 1
Al Ahed
24 Jul
Nejmeh SC
2 : 1
Jwayya SC
20 Jul
Al Ansar
1 : 1
Nejmeh SC
Page 1 of 6

Istiqlol Dushanbe

(Away)
15 Sept
Khujand
1 : 0
Istiqlol Dushanbe
05 Sept
Istiqlol Dushanbe
1 : 0
Khosilot Parkhar
30 Aug
Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov
0 : 4
Istiqlol Dushanbe
15 Aug
Ravshan Kulob
0 : 1
Istiqlol Dushanbe
02 Aug
Regar-TadAZ
1 : 0
Istiqlol Dushanbe
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ittihad Aleppo 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Al Ansar 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Ahal 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Paro 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Play Offs)
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Arabi (Kuwait) 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Istiqlol Dushanbe 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Nejmeh SC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Homs Al Fidaa 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Play Offs)
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Qadisiya 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Regar-TadAZ 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 FC Goa 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Fortis 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Play Offs)
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Yangon United 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Borneo 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Taiwan Steel 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Taguig 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Play Offs)
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shan United 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Kasuka 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Hang Yuen 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Manila Digger 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Play Offs)
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Play Offs)