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Stadium Background

Newport vs Colchester - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

League Two Rodney Parade, Newport
lør. 10. okt. 2026
VS
02:00 p.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

Newport host Colchester in the League Two. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Newport have averaged 1.32 scored and 1.61 conceded recently, against Colchester's 1.26 scored and 1.29 conceded. Head-to-head, Newport have won 0 to Colchester's 4, with 1 draws. They last met on 7. mars 2026, ending 1:2. The numbers (1.31 xG vs 1.00) point toward Colchester. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

70%
Newport
17%
Uavgjort
13%
Colchester
Uavgjort-prognose: 17% Favoritt: Newport

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

88% / Svært Høy Sikkerhet
  • Colchester haven't matched Newport's recent run of results.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Newport taking it.
  • Regular League Two form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Colchester have taken 4 of them.

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 25.5%
Over 4.5 Mål 11%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 71.8%
Newport Rent bur 20%
Colchester Rent bur 10%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Newport Colchester
Kamper Spilt 31 31
Seire 12 9
Uavgjort 6 8
Tap 13 14
Mål Scoret 1.32 1.26
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.61 1.29
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.31 1.00
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

7. mars 2026 League Two
Newport vs Colchester
1:2
20. des. 2025 League Two
Colchester vs Newport
4:1
12. apr. 2025 League Two
Newport vs Colchester
0:2
14. des. 2024 League Two
Colchester vs Newport
0:0
29. mars 2024 League Two
Colchester vs Newport
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Newport 67 / 100
Colchester 14 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Newport Colchester

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Newport Win (1)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Newport found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (31 games).

Colchester has conceded goals in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Newport has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Måltrender

Newport VS Colchester
1 Mål scoret 1.13
0.88 Mål sluppet inn 1.63
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Newport

(Home)
06 Oct
Newport
2 : 3
Plymouth
03 Oct
Gillingham
0 : 0
Newport
26 Sept
Newport
2 : 1
Grimsby
22 Sept
Swindon
0 : 2
Newport
19 Sept
Accrington
0 : 0
Newport
Page 1 of 7

Colchester

(Away)
03 Oct
Colchester
1 : 2
Luton
26 Sept
Shrewsbury
2 : 2
Colchester
22 Sept
Peterborough
3 : 1
Colchester
19 Sept
Colchester
1 : 1
Cheltenham
12 Sept
Colchester
1 : 1
Crewe
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Salford 9 5 1 3 13:10 16
2 Barnet 7 4 3 0 17:10 15
3 Crewe 9 3 6 0 11:7 15
4 Cheltenham 9 4 3 2 16:14 15
5 Bristol Rovers 9 5 0 4 14:14 15
6 York City 8 4 2 2 16:10 14
7 Walsall 8 3 5 0 11:5 14
8 Chesterfield 9 4 2 3 15:12 14
9 Grimsby 9 3 4 2 13:10 13
10 Gillingham 9 3 4 2 11:9 13
11 Rochdale 9 4 1 4 10:11 13
12 Tranmere 9 2 5 2 12:12 11
13 Swindon 9 3 2 4 9:13 11
14 Shrewsbury 9 3 2 4 9:14 11
15 Newport 9 2 4 3 12:12 10
16 Accrington 9 2 4 3 13:14 10
17 Rotherham 9 2 4 3 11:12 10
18 Fleetwood Town 9 2 4 3 9:10 10
19 Colchester 8 2 4 2 10:12 10
20 Exeter 9 2 3 4 5:6 9
21 Oldham 8 2 1 5 9:13 7
22 Northampton 7 1 3 3 3:6 6
23 Port Vale 7 1 2 4 3:9 5
24 Crawley Town 7 1 1 5 6:13 4
Promotion - League One 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League Two (Play Offs)
Relegation - National League 2027/2028 (Main)