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Nof Hagalil vs Hapoel Bnei Musmus - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Israel Israel

State Cup
man. 12. okt. 2026
VS
05:00 p.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

A one-off knockout match in the State Cup. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Nof Hagalil at 1.46 goals for, 1.61 against; Hapoel Bnei Musmus at 1.16 for, 1.32 against. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. Model xG sits at 0.94 vs 0.88, favoring Nof Hagalil. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

70%
Nof Hagalil
17%
Uavgjort
13%
Hapoel Bnei Musmus
Uavgjort-prognose: 17% Favoritt: Nof Hagalil

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

88% / Svært Høy Sikkerhet
  • Nof Hagalil have won more games recently than Hapoel Bnei Musmus.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Nof Hagalil taking it.
  • Nof Hagalil have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 12.5%
Over 4.5 Mål 6%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 75.8%
Nof Hagalil Rent bur 20%
Hapoel Bnei Musmus Rent bur 16%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Nof Hagalil Hapoel Bnei Musmus
Kamper Spilt 28 19
Seire 9 7
Uavgjort 11 6
Tap 8 6
Mål Scoret 1.46 1.16
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.61 1.32
Forventede Mål (xG) 0.94 0.88
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Nof Hagalil 67 / 100
Hapoel Bnei Musmus 15 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Nof Hagalil Hapoel Bnei Musmus

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Nof Hagalil Win (1)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Attacking prowess: Nof Hagalil scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Hapoel Bnei Musmus let in goals in 74% of their last 19 matches.

Nof Hagalil went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Away concern: Hapoel Bnei Musmus has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Måltrender

Nof Hagalil VS Hapoel Bnei Musmus
1.13 Mål scoret 0.38
1.38 Mål sluppet inn 0.75
88% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Nof Hagalil

(Home)
08 Oct
Ironi Baka
1 : 2
Nof Hagalil
30 Sept
Nof Hagalil
2 : 3
FC Tzeirey Tamra
24 Sept
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
2 : 3
Nof Hagalil
09 Sept
Nof Hagalil
1 : 0
Hapoel Tirat Karmel
05 Sept
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
2 : 2
Nof Hagalil
Page 1 of 6

Hapoel Bnei Musmus

(Away)
09 Oct
Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad
0 : 0
Hapoel Bnei Musmus
30 Sept
Hapoel Bnei Musmus
1 : 0
Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik
23 Sept
MS Tira
1 : 1
Hapoel Bnei Musmus
18 Sept
Hapoel Bnei Musmus
1 : 2
Beitar Nahariya
10 Sept
Hapoel Karmiel
3 : 0
Hapoel Bnei Musmus
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm -
FC Shefa-Amr -
Hapoel Karmiel -
Maccabi Ironi Kfar Yona -
Hapoel Yarka -
Beitar Nahariya -
Ironi Nesher -
Kiryat Haim -
Nof Hagalil -
Hapoel Bnei Musmus -
Hapoel Tayibe -
Hapoel Daliyat -
MS Tira -
Maccabi Maalot -
Hapoel Bnei Jisr az-Zarqa -
Tzeirey Um El Fahem -
Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi -
Beitar Mevaseret Zion -
Hapoel Arad -
Kfar Saba 1928 -
Hapoel Rahat FC -
Hapoel Sderot FC -
FC Dimona -
Yehuda -
Ramat Hasharon -
Bnei Eilat -
H. Herzliya -
Hapoel Azor -
Gissin Petah Tikva -
Beitar Petah Tikva -
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