Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Norway vs Denmark - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

UEFA Nations League Ullevaal Stadion, Oslo
Vårt Tips

Kamphendelser

14' Event
Bobb O.
Assist: Odegaard M.
18' Event
Haaland E.
Assist: Nusa A.
25' Event
Damsgaard M.

Kampsammendrag

The UEFA Nations League game between Norway and Denmark finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Norway.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

36%
Norway
44%
Uavgjort
20%
Denmark
Uavgjort-prognose: 44% Favoritt: Draw

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

71% / Middels Sikkerhet
  • Look at the last few games and Norway come out ahead of Denmark on wins alone.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this UEFA Nations League fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 46.5%
Over 4.5 Mål 21%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 75.8%
Norway Rent bur 15%
Denmark Rent bur 10%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Norway Denmark
Kamper Spilt 31 30
Seire 19 14
Uavgjort 4 8
Tap 8 8
Mål Scoret 2.55 1.83
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.26 1.17
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.73 1.54
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

24. sep. 2026 UEFA Nations League
Norway vs Denmark
3:2
8. juni 2024 Friendly International
Denmark vs Norway
3:1
1. juni 2020 Friendly International
Denmark vs Norway
0:0
15. nov. 2013 Friendly International
Denmark vs Norway
2:1
15. jan. 2012 Kings Cup (Thailand)
Denmark vs Norway
1:1

Nøkkelspiller-Analyse

Toppspillere og forventet involvering

Norway Sammenlign

Toppscorer Haaland E.
2 Mål
Assister Bobb O.
1 Ast
Snitt xG / kamp 1.33
Snitt xA / kamp 0.86

Denmark Sammenlign

Toppscorer Damsgaard M.
1 Mål
Assister Hojlund R.
1 Ast
Snitt xG / kamp 1.4
Snitt xA / kamp 0.86

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Norway 35 / 100
Denmark 20 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Norway Denmark

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Denmark Win (2)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Attacking prowess: Norway scored in 94% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Denmark has conceded goals in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Norway has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Måltrender

Norway VS Denmark
1.88 Mål scoret 1.57
1.5 Mål sluppet inn 1.57
88% Over 1.5 71%
75% Over 2.5 57%
50% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

Norway

(Home)
04 Oct
Portugal
2 : 1
Norway
01 Oct
Wales
2 : 1
Norway
27 Sept
Norway
1 : 2
Portugal
24 Sept
Norway
3 : 2
Denmark
11 Jul
Norway
1 : 2
England
Page 1 of 7

Denmark

(Away)
04 Oct
Wales
0 : 1
Denmark
01 Oct
Denmark
2 : 4
Portugal
27 Sept
Denmark
2 : 0
Wales
24 Sept
Norway
3 : 2
Denmark
07 Jun
Denmark
2 : 1
Ukraine
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France 4 3 1 0 7:2 10
2 Italy 4 2 1 1 8:5 7
3 Belgium 4 2 0 2 6:5 6
4 Turkey 4 0 0 4 2:11 0
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Netherlands 4 2 2 0 7:5 8
2 Greece 4 2 2 0 5:3 8
3 Germany 4 1 2 1 3:2 5
4 Serbia 4 0 0 4 3:8 0
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain 4 4 0 0 12:5 12
2 England 4 3 0 1 14:3 9
3 Croatia 4 1 0 3 4:14 3
4 Czech Republic 4 0 0 4 2:10 0
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugal 4 4 0 0 9:4 12
2 Denmark 4 2 0 2 7:7 6
3 Wales 4 1 0 3 2:5 3
4 Norway 4 1 0 3 6:8 3
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)