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Notec Czarnkow vs Baltyk Koszalin - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II
lør. 17. okt. 2026
VS
11:00 a.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

Notec Czarnkow host Baltyk Koszalin in the III Liga - Group II. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Notec Czarnkow at 1.59 goals for, 1.31 against; Baltyk Koszalin at 1.25 for, 1.46 against. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. Model xG sits at 1.38 vs 1.19, favoring Notec Czarnkow. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

36%
Notec Czarnkow
30%
Uavgjort
34%
Baltyk Koszalin
Uavgjort-prognose: 30% Favoritt: Notec Czarnkow

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

66% / Middels Sikkerhet
  • Look at the last few games and Notec Czarnkow come out ahead of Baltyk Koszalin on wins alone.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Notec Czarnkow taking it.
  • Regular III Liga - Group II form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 70%
Over 4.5 Mål 32%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 70.6%
Notec Czarnkow Rent bur 20%
Baltyk Koszalin Rent bur 10%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Notec Czarnkow Baltyk Koszalin
Kamper Spilt 29 28
Seire 13 10
Uavgjort 3 5
Tap 13 13
Mål Scoret 1.59 1.25
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.31 1.46
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.38 1.19
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Notec Czarnkow 36 / 100
Baltyk Koszalin 33 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Notec Czarnkow Baltyk Koszalin

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Draw (X)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Baltyk Koszalin let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.

Attacking prowess: Notec Czarnkow scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: Notec Czarnkow stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Away concern: Baltyk Koszalin has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Måltrender

Notec Czarnkow VS Baltyk Koszalin
1.5 Mål scoret 1.38
1 Mål sluppet inn 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Notec Czarnkow

(Home)
03 Oct
Notec Czarnkow
3 : 0
Swinoujscie
26 Sept
Luzino
2 : 0
Notec Czarnkow
19 Sept
Notec Czarnkow
0 : 0
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
12 Sept
Lech Poznan II
2 : 1
Notec Czarnkow
05 Sept
Notec Czarnkow
3 : 1
Kluczevia Stargard
Page 1 of 6

Baltyk Koszalin

(Away)
03 Oct
Grom Nowy Staw
1 : 3
Baltyk Koszalin
26 Sept
Baltyk Koszalin
3 : 1
Gedania Gdansk
19 Sept
Lipno Steszew
2 : 1
Baltyk Koszalin
12 Sept
Baltyk Koszalin
0 : 2
Blekitni Stargard
05 Sept
Chemik Bydgoszcz
2 : 2
Baltyk Koszalin
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol 11 8 3 0 33:16 27
2 Luzino 11 8 1 2 31:13 25
3 Kluczevia Stargard 10 6 1 3 19:16 19
4 Blekitni Stargard 11 5 3 3 27:19 18
5 Wda Swiecie 10 5 3 2 15:14 18
6 KKS Kalisz 11 4 5 2 16:15 17
7 Notec Czarnkow 11 5 1 5 18:15 16
8 Lech Poznan II 9 4 3 2 17:15 15
9 Baltyk Koszalin 11 4 3 4 15:15 15
10 Swinoujscie 11 4 2 5 15:20 14
11 Unia Swarzedz 11 4 1 6 20:19 13
12 Grom Nowy Staw 11 4 1 6 28:28 13
13 Chemik Bydgoszcz 11 2 6 3 17:21 12
14 Gedania Gdansk 11 2 5 4 23:24 11
15 Elana Torun 11 2 4 5 16:22 10
16 Kotwica Kornik 11 3 1 7 18:32 10
17 Victoria Wrzesnia 11 1 5 5 11:23 8
18 Lipno Steszew 11 1 2 8 11:23 5
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)