Sport Picks
Orange County SC vs Monterey Bay - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
USA
USL Championship Championship Soccer Stadium, Irvine, CA 
Kamphendelser
5'
5'
Sylla O.
(Straffe)
32'
32'
Nakamura R.
45'
45'
Brewitt T.
Kampsammendrag
The USL Championship game between Orange County SC and Monterey Bay finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Monterey Bay.
Seierssannsynlighet
Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form
18%
22%
60%
Uavgjort-prognose: 22% Favoritt: Monterey Bay
Modellens Sikkerhet
Aggregert sikkerhetsskår
82%
/ Svært Høy Sikkerhet
- Orange County SC carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Monterey Bay a 60% chance of winning this.
- European nights carry their own weight — this USL Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).
- History favors Monterey Bay here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Målsannsynlighet
Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie
Over 0.5 Mål 98%
Over 1.5 Mål 87.5%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 38%
Over 4.5 Mål 17%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 78.2%
Orange County SC Rent bur 11%
Monterey Bay Rent bur 10%
Siste Formanalyse
Snitt per kamp
| Metrikk | Orange County SC | Monterey Bay |
|---|---|---|
| Kamper Spilt | 29 | 29 |
| Seire | 9 | 6 |
| Uavgjort | 7 | 6 |
| Tap | 13 | 17 |
| Mål Scoret | 1.28 | 1.28 |
| Mål Sluppet Inn | 1.76 | 1.83 |
| Forventede Mål (xG) | 1.44 | 1.81 |
| Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder
4. okt. 2026 USL Championship
Orange County SC vs Monterey Bay
1:2
26. juli 2026 USL Championship
Monterey Bay vs Orange County SC
1:2
12. juli 2025 USL Championship
Monterey Bay vs Orange County SC
2:1
1. juni 2025 USL Cup
Monterey Bay vs Orange County SC
3:2
23. mars 2025 USL Championship
Orange County SC vs Monterey Bay
0:3
Nøkkelspiller-Analyse
Toppspillere og forventet involvering
Orange County SC Sammenlign
Snitt xG / kamp 1.11
Snitt xA / kamp 0.72
Monterey Bay Sammenlign
Toppscorer Farnsworth Z.
1 Mål Snitt xG / kamp 1.65
Snitt xA / kamp 1.01
SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks
Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)
Orange County SC 18 / 100
Monterey Bay 56 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).
Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke
Orange County SC Monterey Bay
Modell-Prognose
Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder
Hovedtips Monterey Bay Win (2)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5
Smart Innsikt
Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet
Defensive concern: Monterey Bay conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.
Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.
Orange County SC scored in 79% of their last 29 games.
Orange County SC has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Måltrender
Orange County SC VS Monterey Bay
0.88 Mål scoret 1
2.63 Mål sluppet inn 2
100% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Orange County SC
(Home) 04 Oct
Orange County SC
1 : 2 Monterey Bay
27 Sept
Orange County SC
1 : 0 Pittsburgh Riverhounds
19 Sept
Lexington
6 : 0 Orange County SC
13 Sept
Orange County SC
0 : 2 Las Vegas Lights
06 Sept
Orange County SC
1 : 1 Sacramento Republic
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Orange County SC
1 : 2 Monterey Bay
27 Sept
Orange County SC
1 : 0 Pittsburgh Riverhounds
13 Sept
Orange County SC
0 : 2 Las Vegas Lights
06 Sept
Orange County SC
1 : 1 Sacramento Republic
23 Aug
Orange County SC
1 : 5 FC Tulsa
Page 1 of 3
Monterey Bay
(Away) 04 Oct
Orange County SC
1 : 2 Monterey Bay
27 Sept
Monterey Bay
2 : 3 Lexington
19 Sept
Charleston
1 : 0 Monterey Bay
06 Sept
Monterey Bay
1 : 1 Phoenix Rising
30 Aug
Monterey Bay
1 : 1 Sacramento Republic
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Orange County SC
1 : 2 Monterey Bay
19 Sept
Charleston
1 : 0 Monterey Bay
22 Aug
Rhode Island
3 : 1 Monterey Bay
16 Aug
Oakland Roots
1 : 1 Monterey Bay
06 Aug
El Paso Locomotive
1 : 0 Monterey Bay
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay | 27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 46:25 | 52 |
| 2 | Detroit City | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 33:20 | 47 |
| 3 | Charleston | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 52:31 | 46 |
| 4 | Hartford Athletic | 26 | 9 | 12 | 5 | 29:26 | 39 |
| 5 | Rhode Island | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 39:29 | 38 |
| 6 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 28:27 | 38 |
| 7 | Louisville City | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 43:42 | 37 |
| 8 | Miami FC | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 38:45 | 36 |
| 9 | Indy Eleven | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 33:33 | 34 |
| 10 | Loudoun United | 26 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 32:44 | 24 |
| 11 | Birmingham Legion | 26 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 36:43 | 23 |
| 12 | Brooklyn FC | 27 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 27:55 | 18 |
| 13 | Sporting Jax | 27 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 32:73 | 14 |
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | El Paso Locomotive | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 46:35 | 47 |
| 2 | New Mexico | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 41:32 | 46 |
| 3 | Sacramento Republic | 27 | 11 | 11 | 5 | 37:25 | 44 |
| 4 | Lexington | 27 | 13 | 4 | 10 | 49:33 | 43 |
| 5 | FC Tulsa | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 32:25 | 42 |
| 6 | Colorado Springs | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 40:37 | 40 |
| 7 | Orange County SC | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 36:42 | 39 |
| 8 | San Antonio FC | 27 | 9 | 11 | 7 | 29:29 | 38 |
| 9 | Las Vegas Lights | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 35:38 | 36 |
| 10 | Oakland Roots | 27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 33:35 | 34 |
| 11 | Phoenix Rising | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 36:40 | 33 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 27 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 29:47 | 21 |
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)
