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Paks vs MTK Budapest - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Hungary Hungary

NB I. Fehérvári úti stadion, Paks
lør. 10. okt. 2026
VS
05:30 p.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

Paks host MTK Budapest in the NB I.. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Paks have averaged 2.38 scored and 1.69 conceded recently, against MTK Budapest's 1.73 scored and 1.73 conceded. Past meetings favor Paks slightly — 5-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 20. mars 2026, ending 0:2. Model xG sits at 1.81 vs 2.19, favoring Paks. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

30%
Paks
39%
Uavgjort
31%
MTK Budapest
Uavgjort-prognose: 39% Favoritt: Draw

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

65% / Middels Sikkerhet
  • Paks have won more games recently than MTK Budapest.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).
  • Paks have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 99%
Over 1.5 Mål 100%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 56.5%
Over 4.5 Mål 25%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 79.8%
Paks Rent bur 10%
MTK Budapest Rent bur 10%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Paks MTK Budapest
Kamper Spilt 32 30
Seire 15 8
Uavgjort 7 12
Tap 10 10
Mål Scoret 2.38 1.73
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.69 1.73
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.81 2.19
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

20. mars 2026 NB I.
MTK Budapest vs Paks
0:2
6. des. 2025 NB I.
Paks vs MTK Budapest
3:1
24. aug. 2025 NB I.
MTK Budapest vs Paks
2:3
11. apr. 2025 NB I.
MTK Budapest vs Paks
1:2
7. des. 2024 NB I.
Paks vs MTK Budapest
4:2

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Paks 29 / 100
MTK Budapest 30 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Paks MTK Budapest

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Paks Win (1)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Paks scored in 88% of their last 32 games.

MTK Budapest's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Paks went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Måltrender

Paks VS MTK Budapest
2.13 Mål scoret 2
2.38 Mål sluppet inn 1.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Paks

(Home)
19 Sept
Kisvarda FC
0 : 1
Paks
12 Sept
Kazincbarcika
1 : 2
Paks
05 Sept
Paks
2 : 4
Debrecen
29 Aug
Nyiregyhaza
1 : 1
Paks
21 Aug
Paks
2 : 0
Ujpest
Page 1 of 7

MTK Budapest

(Away)
20 Sept
MTK Budapest
1 : 2
Gyor
12 Sept
Mezokovesd-Zsory
0 : 2
MTK Budapest
05 Sept
MTK Budapest
1 : 2
Kisvarda FC
28 Aug
Debrecen
2 : 2
MTK Budapest
22 Aug
MTK Budapest
2 : 1
Nyiregyhaza
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Puskas Academy 8 5 0 3 13:10 15
2 Gyor 8 4 3 1 16:10 15
3 Vasas 8 4 2 2 17:11 14
4 Ujpest 8 4 2 2 17:13 14
5 Ferencvaros 7 3 3 1 11:8 12
6 Paks 8 3 2 3 16:17 11
7 MTK Budapest 8 2 3 3 15:14 9
8 Kisvarda FC 8 2 3 3 9:10 9
9 Debrecen 8 2 3 3 12:15 9
10 Nyiregyhaza 8 2 2 4 9:14 8
11 Zalaegerszegi 8 2 0 6 7:17 6
12 Honved 7 1 3 3 11:14 6
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - NB I. (Relegation)
Relegation - NB II. 2027/2028 (Main)