Sport Picks
Peninsula vs Moreton City Excelsior - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Australia
NPL Queensland AJ Kelly Park, Brisbane 
Kamphendelser
12'
12'
Joseph N.
19'
19'
Scott J.
20'
20'
Joseph N.
Kampsammendrag
First leg ended 3-2. This leg finished 3-2.
Seierssannsynlighet
Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form
31%
40%
29%
Uavgjort-prognose: 40% Favoritt: Draw
Modellens Sikkerhet
Aggregert sikkerhetsskår
66%
/ Middels Sikkerhet
- Attack-wise there's a gap: Moreton City Excelsior at 2.33 per game, Peninsula at 1.87.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
- Historical meetings favor Moreton City Excelsior, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).
Målsannsynlighet
Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie
Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 70%
Over 4.5 Mål 32%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 77%
Peninsula Rent bur 17%
Moreton City Excelsior Rent bur 10%
Siste Formanalyse
Snitt per kamp
| Metrikk | Peninsula | Moreton City Excelsior |
|---|---|---|
| Kamper Spilt | 30 | 30 |
| Seire | 15 | 15 |
| Uavgjort | 7 | 5 |
| Tap | 8 | 10 |
| Mål Scoret | 1.87 | 2.33 |
| Mål Sluppet Inn | 1.37 | 1.63 |
| Forventede Mål (xG) | 1.75 | 1.38 |
| Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder
5. sep. 2026 NPL Queensland
Peninsula vs Moreton City Excelsior
3:2
18. juli 2026 NPL Queensland
Moreton City Excelsior vs Peninsula
2:2
18. apr. 2026 NPL Queensland
Peninsula vs Moreton City Excelsior
1:4
17. juni 2025 NPL Queensland
Peninsula vs Moreton City Excelsior
0:2
10. mai 2025 NPL Queensland
Moreton City Excelsior vs Peninsula
3:3
Nøkkelspiller-Analyse
Toppspillere og forventet involvering
Peninsula Sammenlign
Toppscorer Joseph N.
2 Mål Assister Miyazawa H.
1 Ast
Snitt xG / kamp 1.35
Snitt xA / kamp 0.88
Moreton City Excelsior Sammenlign
Toppscorer Scott J.
1 Mål Snitt xG / kamp 1.25
Snitt xA / kamp 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks
Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)
Peninsula 31 / 100
Moreton City Excelsior 28 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).
Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke
Peninsula Moreton City Excelsior
Modell-Prognose
Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder
Hovedtips Draw (X)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5
Smart Innsikt
Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet
Peninsula scored in 83% of their last 30 games.
Moreton City Excelsior let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.
These sides typically produce 4.40 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Peninsula stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Måltrender
Peninsula VS Moreton City Excelsior
1.75 Mål scoret 1.5
1.25 Mål sluppet inn 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Peninsula
(Home) 12 Sept
Queensland Lions
1 : 0 Peninsula
05 Sept
Peninsula
3 : 2 Moreton City Excelsior
30 Aug
Queensland Lions
4 : 1 Peninsula
14 Aug
Peninsula
2 : 2 Brisbane City
08 Aug
Gold Coast Knights SC
2 : 2 Peninsula
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
Peninsula
3 : 2 Moreton City Excelsior
14 Aug
Peninsula
2 : 2 Brisbane City
10 Jul
Peninsula
0 : 0 Wynnum Wolves
27 Jun
Peninsula
3 : 1 Brisbane Roar U23
23 May
Peninsula
3 : 2 Magic United TFA FC
Page 1 of 3
Moreton City Excelsior
(Away) 05 Sept
Peninsula
3 : 2 Moreton City Excelsior
29 Aug
Moreton City Excelsior
2 : 0 Gold Coast Knights SC
14 Aug
Moreton City Excelsior
0 : 2 Queensland Lions
08 Aug
Olympic FC
1 : 2 Moreton City Excelsior
02 Aug
Brisbane Roar U23
2 : 0 Moreton City Excelsior
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
Peninsula
3 : 2 Moreton City Excelsior
08 Aug
Olympic FC
1 : 2 Moreton City Excelsior
02 Aug
Brisbane Roar U23
2 : 0 Moreton City Excelsior
04 Jul
Gold Coast Knights SC
2 : 1 Moreton City Excelsior
28 Jun
Gold Coast Utd
0 : 1 Moreton City Excelsior
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
Quarter-finals
Queensland Lions 4
Peninsula 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Moreton City Excelsior 2
Gold Coast Knights SC 0
Semi-finals
Queensland Lions -
TBD -
Peninsula 3
Moreton City Excelsior 2
Final
Queensland Lions 1
Peninsula 0
