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Penybont vs Barry Town - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

Cymru Premier Bryntirion Park, Bridgend
fre. 9. okt. 2026
VS
06:45 p.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

Penybont host Barry Town in the Cymru Premier. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Barry Town have shipped 1.19 goals a game lately, while Penybont have conceded 1.13 and scored 1.16. Past meetings favor Penybont slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 3. apr. 2026, ending 0:2. Model xG sits at 1.88 vs 1.75, favoring Barry Town. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

90%
Penybont
6%
Uavgjort
4%
Barry Town
Uavgjort-prognose: 6% Favoritt: Penybont

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

95% / Svært Høy Sikkerhet
  • Barry Town carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Penybont are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 56.5%
Over 4.5 Mål 25%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 71.4%
Penybont Rent bur 12%
Barry Town Rent bur 10%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Penybont Barry Town
Kamper Spilt 31 37
Seire 13 23
Uavgjort 8 2
Tap 10 12
Mål Scoret 1.16 2.08
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.13 1.19
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.88 1.75
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

3. apr. 2026 Cymru Premier
Penybont vs Barry Town
0:2
3. mars 2026 Cymru Premier
Barry Town vs Penybont
1:0
9. des. 2025 Cymru Premier
Penybont vs Barry Town
1:1
22. aug. 2025 Cymru Premier
Barry Town vs Penybont
2:3
26. des. 2024 Cymru Premier
Barry Town vs Penybont
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Penybont 83 / 100
Barry Town 10 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Penybont Barry Town

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Penybont Win (1)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Penybont scored in 65% of their last 31 games.

Defensive concern: Barry Town conceded in 70% of 37 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Penybont has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Måltrender

Penybont VS Barry Town
2.13 Mål scoret 2.5
1 Mål sluppet inn 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Penybont

(Home)
03 Oct
Connahs Q.
1 : 0
Penybont
26 Sept
Penybont
2 : 1
Airbus UK Broughton FC
18 Sept
Ammanford Town
1 : 5
Penybont
15 Sept
Penybont
3 : 2
Briton Ferry
11 Sept
Trefelin
0 : 1
Penybont
Page 1 of 7

Barry Town

(Away)
03 Oct
Caernarfon
0 : 1
Barry Town
26 Sept
Barry Town
1 : 4
Connahs Q.
18 Sept
Colwyn Bay
5 : 2
Barry Town
15 Sept
Barry Town
2 : 2
Ammanford Town
11 Sept
Barry Town
4 : 1
Llandudno FC
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 TNS 12 11 1 0 38:5 34
2 Connahs Q. 12 9 1 2 28:8 28
3 Penybont 12 8 3 1 22:10 27
4 Barry Town 12 8 1 3 27:20 25
5 Caernarfon 12 7 2 3 35:14 23
6 Colwyn Bay 12 7 1 4 21:15 22
7 Cardiff Metropolitan University 12 6 3 3 23:13 21
8 Airbus UK Broughton FC 12 6 0 6 21:17 18
9 Cambrian United 12 5 3 4 21:32 18
10 Llandudno FC 12 5 1 6 21:19 16
11 Briton Ferry 12 3 3 6 11:20 12
12 Haverfordwest 12 3 1 8 7:17 10
13 Flint Town 12 2 2 8 12:24 8
14 Ammanford Town 12 1 3 8 9:32 6
15 Trefelin 12 0 3 9 5:30 3
16 Holywell Town FC 12 0 2 10 13:38 2
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group)
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Conference League Group)
Relegation - Cymru Premier (Relegation Group)